HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY TO ALL THE VIEWERS!!!!!
In his first Independence day speech, PM Narendra Modi said "Let us think about 0 defect - that our products are not defected and 0 effect - our products have no adverse effect on the environment". Our new pick is concentrating on the 2nd clause of that statement, by trying to reduce the environmental pollution with its innovations.
Ganesha Ecosphere is India’s largest waste recycling company (with 21% market share), primarily engaged in the recycling of Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) bottles to produce Regenerated Polyester Staple Fiber.
It recycles more than 2 billion bottles annually and is one of the leading environmental friendly companies in India. The manufacturing plants are located at Kanpur and Rudrapur (Uttaranchal, India).
The company is having the most modern pet waste washing and recycling facilities, which ensure the recycling of waste in environment and people friendly manner. It is having all environmental clearances from concerned departments for its facilities.
How Does It Works?
Application Areas:
Details About Applications Of Products Manufactured By Ganesha Ecosphere:
Recent Recongnizition:
The world’s biggest cola company – Coca Cola is recycling PET bottles waste into textile fibres in India, which in turn are turned into fashion items. Coca-Cola’s largest bottler in India, Hindustan Coca-Cola Beverages (HCCB), is demonstrating its commitment to sustainability by developing commercial solutions for recycling PET plastic. In collaboration with Ganesha Ecosphere Ltd. (GESL), the largest PET recycler in India, HCCB established the nation’s first bottle-to-fibre textile recycling operation.
The best thing about the company is that, their raw material itself is PET bottle waste. Nobody would deny that the use of PET bottle is going to increase in coming years. And with increasing use of PET bottles, the raw material will be easily available to the company. Hence the selection of a company, whose end product is linked to textile industry.
My Views:
I know I am once again, going with a company having higher debt, but there are some factors, which forces me to invest in a company. In case of Ganesha Ecosphere, the company looks very good fundamentally in all the parameters except the debt levels. As I said earlier also, if the company is involved in a strong business, with good growth and promising balance sheet, I won't reject the company just on the basis of high debts. Because of that, I know, the appreciation might be less or delayed, but other factors are too attractive for me not to invest in it. Being a long term investor, I won't mind if the stock price appreciation is less or gets slightly delayed. As far as I believe, if management is efficient, these things will get back on track, as the company grows in size.
Looking at numbers, the company is growing at a CAGR of 20% in sales and 22% in profit, in last 5 years, which is pretty decent. To add to that, because of recent collabrations with some of the top companies, the sales are bound to increase in coming years, at a stronger pace. The recent Q1 results proves exactly that, with a sales growth of 65% and net profit growth of 14% yoy. The net profit growth was sub-dued when compared to sales growth, but that was on account of almost double finance cost this year.
Currently, based on FY'14 numbers, the stock is trading at a P/E multiple of 6, which leaves plenty of scope for appreciation in future. As I said earlier, the stock might move slowly, but patience will pay in the long run, because I feel, the business they are involved in is great, and is expected to grow at a healthy pace, with companies looking forward to save the nature.
This stock is operating under a new sort of segment, hence difficult to give targets on it. And because of that same reason, I would suggest everyone to perform their own detailed study before investing in the company. As always, any investment you make, should be based on your belief and not only on someone else's thinking.
dear kunal,
ReplyDeleteyour view on the recent results of both ganesh ecogreen and steel strip wheels,in ssw it has disappointed a bit does the big order has been reflect in the current quarter or next quarter.
regards
ram hyderabad
In my opinion, SSWL results are fair, with sales growth of 13%. Flat as far as profits are concerned.
DeleteThe company has a habit of declaring the sales and volume growth every month. The numbers look much better for the month of July and August, when compared with Q1. Hence you can expect a better performance in Q2.
I would recommend a hold, even if stock sees some downside. Infact, I would be a buyer at such dips..
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteEntered Ganesha Ecosphere at 81, had some doubt whether my decision was correct or not as it had huge debts. Now, I am assured that it was right :)
Thanks
Anshul
Hi kunal is suven life science a buy @ 116 for long term.....
ReplyDeleteReplied same query just 2 days ago..
DeletePasting it here again..
Suven has had a tremendous run up in past 1 year, but still, I feel it has lots of potential going forward also. It is operating in high margin business of crams, hence the profitability of the company will always be higher. I would still prefer to be an investor here for decent returns even from these levels.
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeletePlease frame your queries/questions/explanations required for Gulshan Polyol and Ricoh India's AGM !! :)
Actually I didn't find time to look at any of the company's annual report yet...
DeleteWill do that as soon as possible... :)
And most important for Photoquip India too !!! I may attend all the three AGMs subject to suitability of dates !!!
DeleteHi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteI was just checking up the CORVI's sales figures. Last year in the first six months they have done Rs.6.60 crores whereas this year in the first three months itself they have done Rs.7.05 crores. :-D !!! No doubt last year was the first year of operations still I would term the sales as excellent. I expect around Rs.35 crores topline for Led Lights this year and probably by year end they should break-even.
I agree with topline number, but I think, they should break even within next 2 quarters, as far as CORVI sales are concerned, and probably they should post some profit on annual basis...
DeleteMay be, I am little more optimistic than you... :)
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteGulshan Polyols has done a capex of more than Rs.60 crores during 2013-14 !!! And that is something big particularly when the production cycle is likely to pick up in the second half of 2014-15 !!!! May turn out very encouraging numbers !!!! Investors may watch for this scrip !!! And heartening to note that the counter is available a good 25% cheaper available from the recent high. Have again started shopping :)
totalview
Just noticed, Promoters of Ganesha Ecosphere have pledged 74.82% of their holding.
ReplyDeleteIsn't it bad?
I think I have explained the reason why I like it in spite of such high amount of pledging....
DeleteI like the business they are in, and I am ready to take a risk of investing, although they have some debt concerns..
And yes, I don't directly call pledging as bad, unless I know the reason for it....
But it is definitely taken as negative in practical...
Hence, I mentioned about those things in details, and requested everyone to understand the risk before investing. Please don't follow someone blindly, till the time, you are not fully convinced..
All the best!!!!
Thanks a lot KB ji.
DeleteKeep posting such amazing analysis for the benefit of small investors.
Hi Kunal,
DeleteSomething on pledging of shares !!! Not always pledging is bad !!! As we know that Hotel Industry has been passing through bad patches for quite some time. Royal Orchid Hotels is one such scrip which constructed a 5-Star Hotel at Hyderabad costing around 180 crores. Now the revenues could not match with the investment incurred and started bleeding on P & L A/c. But promoters being thorough professional could sense it very fast and approached Bankers for CDR-route. Now one of the conditions of CDR package was that they have to either bring in additional equity(which would have diluted equity base) or pledge entire promoters' shareholding which is very high around 70%. They opted for pledging of entire promoters' equity. Now in this case I shall call it a positive development though on the face of it would look like very negative. In the meantime they sold out the Hyderabad property and repaid substantially to the Banks. They could save the entire venture which consists of many hotels and projects. Therefore, one must know the reasons why the pledge route has been invoked. However, I agree that probably in four out of five cases it may turn out to be negative particularly when the business is not doing well.
totalview
Excellent write up, and it is the same reason I said:
DeleteAnd yes, I don't directly call pledging as bad, unless I know the reason for it....
In the answer to that question..
Thanks Kunal I that case will it be aright choice to switch from Bilcare due to poor factors to suven life science....kindly advice....
ReplyDeleteThat has to be your decision..
DeleteCan't help you in comparison between 2 companies. I can comment on their individual fundamentals, but its always risky comparing 2 companies, and that too in different business...
But yes, only conclusion I can derive, is that Bilcare needs some time, to get things back on track, where as Suven is at its peak, as far as performance is concerned....
Hence a safer stock when compared to Bilcare, at present...
All the best!!!!
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteLook at the quarterly results of Shree Ganesh Jewellery House for the last four quarters !!! How mastermind manipulations can be effected and how investors' wealth can be robbed !!! A live example as to how one has to be careful while investing in small caps !!! They were paying very decent dividends and now it's a CDR case with hardly any sales :(
Absolutely true...
DeleteThat is the reason why appreciation is relatively lesser for companies with higher debts, in spite of their performance. There is always a risk like that, and hence clarity or transparency from management is considered to be one of the biggest factors while investing in any company....
In past few years, we have examples like Bilcare, Orchid Chemicals, Zylog Systems, Glodyne Technoserve to name a few, which can be used for studying by investors to understand the risk involved, irrespective of capitalization, I would say, but yes, chances of such companies being small or mid caps is higher....
Thanks for bringing out such examples. Highly appreciated...
Hi. Kunal....if I need to understand better will i get returns from SLS on a slow pace or high pace as you mentioned its performance is at peak...there is one website niftyhistorical which has given a target of 480 in 2 years time for SLS.
ReplyDeleteI think it is better to concentrate in 8-10 good businesses than put money in different stocks thereby diluting the returns as well as augmenting the risk . Small caps rally if at all halted , nay , reversed it might wipe out investors money in a big way .
ReplyDeleteInvesting in ganesh ecospheres is a risky venture, almost like a gamble . I like some of your recommendations and not all .
I totally respect your personal opinion, no denying that.
DeleteBut according to what I feel, investing in any company is a gamble. Whenever I invest in a company, I am betting on its performance in future, and taking a risk, that my study due to which, I gambled on particular company, will come true..
I don't think I am so informed that I know everything about the upcoming performance. And if I don't know that, and I am still investing, it means I am playing a gamble.
However, the level of risk/gamble, varies from company to company. Those, with strong set of customers, and good developments in pipeline, can be considered a safe bet, but still a bet.
These are strictly my views, and I fully respect what others think too.
Whenever I write in my post that please invest only when you are fully convinced, or something like that, I mean the same thing that please form your belief about investing in companies, and if my study, matches all your parameters, then only invest in a company.
Please read the last line of this post once or once again, if you have already read. :)
Hi lunal, what's your take on Bhageria Chemicals n dyes? It shown tremendous growth this Quarter. Look promising track record. Any advise on the same?
ReplyDeleteSorry, typo in name above, its Kunal 😊
ReplyDeleteNot tracking the same...
DeleteHowever had a look at the growth you were talking about.
It seems that turnaround started last year only...
Will have to dig in more, to get the details..
No comments as of now..
Kunal, your view on williamson magor and company ltd.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it..
DeletePlease update me on grauer and weil india ltd.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Grauer..
DeleteKunalji can Astra Microwave be bought at CMP with a Long Term View?
ReplyDeleteYes, if you genuinely mean long term... :)
DeleteHi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteThere is a fmcg company listed on BSE called Tasty Bite foods. The recent quarter it has turned out decent numbers and does look cheap . Do take time to read its Annual report and lets us see if we could consider it as an investment case.
Regards.
Thanks for that, will definitely take a look...
Deleteone more research firm bullish one this and sets target of 175 in next 1 year
ReplyDeletehttp://www.moneycontrol.com/news/stocks-views/ganesh-ecosphere-may-test-rs-175-says-aashish-tater_1149885.html
I'm still away from this at the moment. :)
sir do u think heritage food to be a good money maker ?
ReplyDeleteSorry, not tracking Heritage Foods...
DeleteCRISIL raises Dhanuka Agritech`s fair value to Rs 470
ReplyDeleteLink: http://www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/news/article/article_pdf.php?autono=1159685&num=0
CRISIL raises fair value of Cera Sanitaryware
Link: http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/Cera_Sanitaryware_Ltd_160814.pdf
Ajanta Listed on Forbes Asia's '200 Best under Billion' 2014 for 3rd consecutive year
Link: http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/Ajanta_Pharma_Ltd_190814.pdf
Gulshan Polyols to consider issuance of Preferential allotment of shares on 22nd August 2014 !!!
ReplyDeletesir what is your take on aksh opti fibre .can it be a multi bagger ? please comment chinmoy
ReplyDeleteNot tracking the sector itself... can comment on individual stock from that space...
DeleteHi kunal, ur views on ahmednagar forging??
ReplyDeleteExcept debt , I find everything interesting.
Well, sold few granules and made rest free.
Added caplin point....marico kaya...kopran....astec life!!!
-Anand Patel
Ahmednagar Forging is a decent pick for long term....
DeleteHi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteGulshan Polyols Ltd has informed BSE that a meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on August 22, 2014, to discuss on Preferential Issue pursuant to Section 62 of the Companies Act, 2013 and as per the SEBI (Issue of Capital and Disclosure Requirement) Regulation, 2009.
Why not rights issue, if they need funds?
Regards.
Hi Sameer,
DeleteFirst thing, I can't comment on why company took a particular decision. I can only look at the possibilities, but finally, only the owners know why are they doing what they are doing.
I think main reason why company chooses from preferential route is that, the investors participating in preferential issuance are not necessarily existing shareholders, and in most of the cases, they are private firms or banks etc., whereas in right issue, its about issuance to existing shareholders only.
Hence, if company has a better prospect, they can issue the share at a higher price to private firms. Discount in right issue is generally bigger than preferential route.
However, this is only what my understanding is. Can't guarantee why company is going for that route.
Regards.
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteSinger & Marico Kaya are rocking :) Both have their distinct advantages !!! Your views !!
totalview
Still not conluded on any of the 2.
DeleteMarico Kaya is in good business, but no competitors, so nothing to compare with and also, I am waiting for few more quarterly numbers from the company, before deriving any conclusion.
But yes, potential is there. Lets wait and watch.
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteCould I accumulate Ganesha Ecosphere at current levels for 2-3 years?
Regards.
I think it has aprreciated by only 20% so far. It was recommended just 6 days back. Don't think its too late now, if you geniunely have 2-3 years horizon...
DeleteSir, Your View on Sundaram Fastner? can it be bought at CMP?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it, but not quite attracted by the growth in business, considering a company with market cap of 3000 Cr, on first look...
DeleteAny idea about datamatics global
ReplyDeleteLooks good, not a bad option...
DeleteFirms with pledged shares less likely to 'manipulate' earnings.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/firms-with-pledged-shares-less-likely-to-manipulate-earnings-114081800010_1.html
Hi Kunal, this article should allay fears about high promoter pledging in Ganesha Ecosphere.
Regards.
Good one...
DeleteLight at end of the tunnel, for those who hate companies with high pledging... :)
However, those thinking negative about the same fact, are also true, in some sense..
kunal what's your view on Mirza International Ltd.? can it be a multi - bagger from current Levels?
DeleteI think, we had a discussion regarding comparison between Mirza Intl and Superhouse, some 9 months ago, when I wrote about Superhouse here:
Deletehttp://fundamentalstockideas.blogspot.in/2013/11/few-interesting-micro-caps-that-may.html
That time, when Superhouse was trading around 75 levels, I preferred it over Mirza Intl. Now when Superhouse is close to 190, I think Mirza and Superhouse, are at same sort of valuation.
If you want 1 from that industry, neither of them is bad option. You can go with any one. As such, I am not a big fan of leather industry, because government policies on leather exports are strict. :)
sir how do you value bilcare at present situation?please reply when time permits
ReplyDeleteSir, Bilcare is discussed twice or thrice is past 2 threads. Please use search functionality to check that. No change in views from there.
DeleteGood if you are a very long term investor. Turn around may take time also. You never know. Hence you got to have patience
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeletePhotoquip is witnessing good volumes as also somewhat increased price movement !!! Perhaps FB postings are coming to the rescue :-D
totalview
It can give the stock some positive direction to move, but I think, unless, they start showing some profits, the jump might not be significant. Only time will tell..
DeleteHowever, the volumes are not that large at this moment, to get attracted to...
Lets see how things goes ahead..
But yes, there is some hope, looking at movements in this week...
Kunal, Kindly share your view on ybrant digital. Can i enter at current price. Is it operator hyped rate.
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it deeply, but don't think the rate is too high, looking at the business they are operating in. However, the same business, makes it difficult for me to judge anything about their future...
DeleteI can only say that the company is good, but its difficult to predict their growth, because with constantly increasing focus on this sector, new players are coming up everyday, which could eat up some business, from market leaders...
The sector has a very bright future, but unfortunately, can't comment on individual names, as of now...
Gulshan Polyols to issue 10 lakh shares in total consisting of 5 lakh shares and 5 lakh convertible warrants @ Rs.175 to FII !!!! Resolution to be approved in the next AGM on 20th September 2014. Your views.
ReplyDeletetotalview
Decent price it seems, though I was expecting it to be slightly higher.
DeleteHowever, it will act as a great boost, as some new big players might get attracted by this move, especially when FIIs are involved..
The stock should continue to do well in near future in my opinion...
In fact, I see a huge positive in this move !!! Best of all, it gives credibility to operations and CMP !!!! I shall not be surprised if it adds a good premium to new shares by the time proposal is through in the AGM !!!! It looks issue will be two tranche - this year 5 lac shares and next financal year again 5 lakh shares by conversion of convertible warrants. And the beauty is that not a single share will form part of floating stock i.e. as good as promoters' equity :D
DeleteKunal sir, your View on Asian Granito Ltd.? Had a decent run in this week. Can it be bought at CMP or should wait for some correction?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking it deeply, but a decent stock. Not sure about its multibagger potential though.
DeleteAlways buy in parts if you have doubts. Use dips to buy more and average out.
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteGreat development for Gulshan indeed. Recently Mayur Uniquoters allotted preference shares to Westbridge and it certainly led to its rerating.
Hopefully Gulshan would also finally get its "long delayed" valuation rerating and attract more long term funds..
Regards.
Atleast it got some, in past 6 months, when it went up from 75 to 200. Waiting for the 2nd round now... :)
DeleteOne of the positive developments arising out of of allotment of 10 lakh shares to FIIs will be promoters` holding will come down to 64.64%. And there will be space for promoters under creeping acquisition route to buy from the market whenever they feel appropriate. In a way a hedge and cushion against unwarranted fall in the market price.
Deletetotalview
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteTtk was 7.80 in 2008. A 700 bagger now! Do you envisage any stock that could probably have this kind of appreciation in years to come?
Regards.
2002 not 2008.
ReplyDelete12 years is a very long period, you can't say anything about price movements, considering so many years ahead....
DeleteThe times have changed, and participation has increased over that period of time..
If you talk about that same period, we have many such examples.
Cera Sanitaryware & Ajanta Pharma were both trading at 3 Rs in 2003.
Its difficult to predict that far, but yes, if the company keeps on performing as per our best case, and if the change in political system, can drive India to become a developed nation tomorrow, then I think, its achievable.
But frankly speaking, I don't think that far. :)
Dear Kunal,
DeleteThe trait of human mind goes like this OPPOSITION,CRITICISM and ACCEPTANCE . I think you are honest and candid in your response . My intention was not to prove you wrong . I am believer in small cap stocks too but putting opposing queries can elicit convincing response .
You have a strong follower base and my opposition may not deter you from your journey .You have some strong and robust stock picks in the past .
Pl do not take any criticism or opposing words as personal . Just consider the pointers as emanating from different individuals .
thanks
I will never take it personally... you can definitely post whatever you think. I will just reply with my views on the same... :)
DeleteAnd, as I said, I don't mind accepting my mistakes also. The difference is that I take it as my learning rather than calling it a mistake.
For eg., the Rs-Dollar drama gave me a new angle of thinking, which wasn't considered by me, till that time, especially when I recommended Cravatex on this blog first..
The hike in import of Gold, gave me another angle to look at while selecting jewellery stocks, otherwise, I was among the few who thought, Thangamayil could be one of the biggest multibagger...
I would be more than happy if you continue to post your views on this blog. My only point was that, if you don't like some of the post over here, please don't follow blindly.
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteNow that quarterly results are over, any new stock that may have impressed you with growth this quarter that may be worth pursuing in detail?
Regards
Current Watchlist (Not to be taken as recommendation)
ReplyDelete1) FIEM Ind
2) Poddar Pigments
3) Flex Foods
4) Kanpur Plastipack
5) MetroGlobal
Will post in detail if all things look good...
Hi Kunalji,
DeleteSometime back I was looking into Kanpur Plastipack. But hold back because :
(1) High Debt
(2) They are into business of making bags or Jholla. Do u think it can scale or has future.
Otherwise nos are OK. Pls share ur views
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteThanks for sharing the watchlist.
Poddar Pigments even I think has good potential as masterbatches have multiple applications.
Fiem Industries has run up a a lot during past year or so but great stock fundamentally.
Looking forward to your detailed write-up.
Regards.
Ganesha Ecosphere is actually in a very good line of business but here's my few takes and concerns regarding the business:
ReplyDelete1. The company has always been in continuous capex mode for the past three to four years, hence its ROCE will be supressed due to this and earnings to shareholders might be affected
2. The debt burden has also been on the rise due to term debt contracted for their cpex; R-PEt are partly exposed to polyester prices and partly to supply side constraints like ensuring availability of PET bottles/ PET granules all the time as recycled PET and recycled PSF undergo continuous polymerisation process and hence the raw material availability throughout the year will be key determinant.
4. Operating cycle in terms of collection period is also crucial as in my understanding most of the customers would be from packaging and textile industries. The average collection and payment periods for these industries are quite stressed so not sure how the company mitigates any delay in its receivable collections.
5. Recycled PSF is mostly preferred as it is traditionally cheaper than Virgin PSF prices.. however the spread between virgin and recycled PSF has considerably declined over the past six months due to cooling off crude prices and stable currency regime.. So with this is mind how will the EBIDTA margins of the company pan out?
I am sure its an interesting stock. Kunal would love to hear ur responses to these concerns also.
Regards
I think, me being a long term investor, have considered above points, and that is why, I am not giving any short term targets on the script. I agree to most of your points, but we have to understand the fact, that is a new kind of business, and one which could rewrite the future, as it comes with a good cause...
Delete1) Nature of business is such. It may remain affected, hence going long is advisable.
2) Debt is higher on account of loan funds, which is used for expansion project. Regarding raw material, the company has 25 strong collection centers across India. It has collection centers near malls, airport, railway station etc., where consumption of pet bottles is higher. PET consumption is growing at a CAGR of 19%, which is not bad for company.
4) Their marketing team, has a strong follow ups with customers, however, it has been an issue, but their efficient inventory management could be helpful.
5) Waiting for company's annual report for FY'14, to get more insight on it.
Regards.
Dear Kunal,
ReplyDeleteI would request you to please examine Dynemic Products. It is going dirt cheap today. Its PE is only at 4.8. It is a leading food colour exporter of India. 70% of its 116 crore turnover gets exported. Long term debt only 3 crores, plus dividend paying. Its factory is in the heart of chemical industry, Ankleshwar. It has further purchased further piece of land in Dahej which will double the size of the company. I sincerely request your kind self to look into this stock. It will benefit everyone if you approve. My personal opinion is it will become a multibagger. Disclosure - I bought 1000 shares at 50, but now quoting at 43 to 44.
I think you are new to this blog. Dynemic Products was already recommended, when it was trading around 28 here:
Deletehttp://fundamentalstockideas.blogspot.in/2014/03/dynemic-products-name-behind-colors-of.html
Stock has already appreciated more than 50%, but yes, as you said, price is still juicy and stock seems to have much steam left yet.
Please have a look at left hand side widget, to check all reco and their reco price.
First reaction of the market on proposed issuance of shares to FIIs @ 175 !!! Stock is locked in UC @ 199.20 with pending buying orders for 14444 shares !!!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
Heavy FII investment has confirmed good fundamentals of the company...
DeleteLet's see how much appreciation is giving to the stock in this move....
However, it will be important for company to come out with good numbers, especially in second half of this fiscal, as promised by the management, because the results in Q1 were not up to the mark...
If this move is supported by good numbers in coming quarters, it could significantly re-rate the stock...
Ricoh India is trading around 220 with good volumes !!! It's the highest price range before and after the failure of RBB(DELISTING) !!! With marquee investors having entered the counter, it looks like sunny and brighter days are ahead !!!! Incidentally, those who had bought the scrip for RBB only can now exit the counter with the same amount of profit which they had expected while entering. Exceptional counter !!!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
With heavy volumes Ricoh India is locked at Upper Circuit @ 226.40 !!!! Upto 1.22 pm more than 2.87 lakh shares have been traded !!!! And this price is all-time high (except a fat-finger trade of @ 251) price on the counter. And the best is yet to come.... However, one should be ready for technical corrections which may again take the counter back in 200 (+) (-) 10% range !!!
DeleteAnd finally a block-buster story !!! Is it true?
Deletehttp://channeldrive.in/tcil-ricoh-india-bag-rs-2000-crore-rh-tender-by-dop/
totalview
There are good chances of technical correction, especially because the company is moving on basis of its increasing presence and growth, and not on basis of earnings in this rally...
DeleteSmart investors are getting in, but few, who strongly believes in company's profitability above all, might use this opportunity to get out, which could bring in some consolidation..
However, the stock looks a good bet, for those, who are ready to wait for long..
Flex Food is trading ex-dividend @ 63 with good volumes !!!! An established player in it's segment with good export turnover(Make in India) !!! Once it scales up it's operations........
ReplyDeletetotalview
Looks good to me overall, just checking the sustainability of products, and efficiency of management in coming with more such products in future, which could drive their growth, apart from existing product portfolio...
DeleteHI,
ReplyDeletePlease share your views on kesar terminals
Thanks
Anshul
Not tracking it....
DeletePlease share if you have some attractive details regarding the company...
kunalji i had gone through your views on astra Microwave when somebody asked about it and you told to hold it for Long term. I am holding Astra microwave from 45 rs.(adjusted price taking bonus & splits into consideration) from 2008. Now it had shown a high of 156 rs. but after its good quarterly results its sinking everyday. So, now i am worried as there could be short term correction in the market & how will it react in correction and is it a right strategy to hold it from here on also (in my perspective as i had buying price of 45 rs.) or shift the money in other counters fully or at least partly? Please Guide.
ReplyDeleteWhen you say that there could be short term correction in market, and you are worried because of that, it means, you don't seem to be a long term investor. That way, it would be difficult to comment anything, especially with Astra Microwave, which I am not strictly tracking.
DeleteI like the business they are in, their product portfolio, their results, and also their balance sheet. Based on that, plus a good news for overall sector, in a way, that govt has decided to hike FDI in defense, could be very helpful to the company, as far as their growth in future is concerned.
No comments on short term movements, but one can definitely hold it for long term.
However, whenever you are in doubts regarding you entry/exit in any company, do transactions in parts, so that risk is slightly averted.
All the best!!
Regards.
Gulshan Poly, Ricoh India and Dynemic Products - All dancing on the floor !!!! Is it the time for technical correction ? Well it seems Gulshan has still steam left for this leg of rally !!! Ricoh may or may not correct !!! Dynemic should show some dynamism before settling down !!!
ReplyDeleteRicoh almost a 1000 Cr company now. Thats quite an achievement...
DeleteDon't think we can expect heavy correction in Gulshan from these levels.
Not quite sure of other 2.
Gulshan Poly has already undergone it's technical correction i.e.from 220 to 165, a neat 25% !!!!! Dynemic is still testing deeper waters and treading cautiously !!! Ricoh has already seen the worst and most of the weak-hands are out !!! No doubt it has appreciated 50% in just 10 trading sessions !!! But one thing is reasonably certain that all have long journey to perform !!!
Deletetotalview
Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd has informed BSE that the Company has fixed September 05, 2014 as the Record Date for Sub-Division of Equity Share from face value of Rs. 2/- each to face value of Re. 1/- each.
ReplyDeleteThe move wasn't expected and wasn't required in my opinion.
Ricoh India (erstwhile RPG Ricoh) has received an order worth close to Rs.1400 crore from Indian Department of Posts. The Rs.2000 crore order was divided between Ricoh India and Telecommunications Consultants India Ltd (TCIL), a Govt. of India Undertaking. TCIL has bagged order worth Rs.600 crore and Ricoh India got the rest from the Department of Posts.
ReplyDeleteThe Bombay Stock Exchange listed Ricoh India clocked Rs 1,047 crore sales turnover in fiscal March 2014, thrice more from Rs 300 crore clocked in fiscal 2003.
The company sells a range of over 30 models of multi-functional products (MFPs) which combine copiers, printers, scanners and faxes in the country. These machines imported from Ricoh factories around the world are priced in the Rs 50,000 – Rs 1.5 lakh range."
Copied from pressreleasewatch
And Ricoh India & Gulshan Polyols are locked at Upper Circuit at 257.65 and 219.60 respectively since early morning with pending orders for 73500 and 16700 shares !!!!!
ReplyDeletehttp://rakesh-jhunjhunwala.in/not-too-late-to-join-stock-wizards-ramesh-damani-kenneth-andrade-into-ricoh-india/
DeleteMarico Kaya is rocking and locked at Upper Circuit @ 562 !!! A niche segment Company with no parallels !!!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
Great to see people taking a risk in such new segment and getting rewarded... :)
DeleteKunal whats your view on Galaxy Entertainment. Can it be bought at CMP?
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Galaxy Entertainment...
DeleteFinally Gulshan Polyols closed at 219.60 it's 52-week's high !!!! It has travelled a lot since 29th August 2013 when it quoted at Rs.56.00 and the journey has just begun !!!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
Sir do u track Eon Electric. If not i would request you to please see this one. i had studied on it and i assume it could be a turnaround story and from last 2 days there is some action started into it. Please guide if this can be bought at CMP. Your expert view needed.
ReplyDeleteTheir product portfolio is very big, but they need to make their presence strong, in at least 1 or 2 products from that list. That will make chances of revival higher...
DeleteI would rather wait and see if numbers start improving, only then will I enter, even at the cost of entering late in rally....
A freak-trade took place on 11th June 2014 (probably because of fat-finger) at Ricoh India counter @ Rs.251.10 with sizeable volume !!!!! But today that guy must be smiling as counter was locked at Upper Circuit @ Rs.257.65 since early. Moral of the Story : Freak-trades are also profitable provided one has got patience !!! :-D
ReplyDeleteIf selected company is fundamentally strong... :)
Deletehow do you see cebbco . is it a scrape stock ? please reply
ReplyDeleteNot tracking Cebbco...
DeleteSinger India has come out with it's quarterly and Annual results !!!! Topline has gone up by 37% !!! Quality of bottom-line has improved tremendously !!!! It seems brand is getting re-established in the market. Looking to the potential of Indian markets vis-a-vis Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Pakistan and existing business in the sub-continent and also entry of Singer India in consumer white goods products, it merits a look as long term bet !!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
Will have to take a deeper look.. :)
DeleteSuven Life Sciences very close to be first 7 bagger among all the stocks recommended on this blog and surpassing the returns given by Ajanta Pharma so far...
ReplyDeleteThe same was achieved in only 14 months, which is quite amazing to see.
http://fundamentalstockideas.blogspot.in/2013/06/few-more-multibaggers-for-long-term.html
Hi Kunal have a look at black rose chemicals and advicd
ReplyDeleteWill take a look. Anything specific that you like about the stock?
DeleteGulshan Polyols and Ricoh India again locked in Upper Circuit at 230.55 and 270.50 respectively. Beauty was both were locked since pre-opening trading and during trading hours circuits were open for some time. Very heavy volumes witnessed i.e. Gulshan Poly for more than 53K shares and Ricoh India 3.54 lakh shares till 10.50 AM !!! Both the counters have attracted attention of Retail, HNIs and Institutional Investors !!! Re-rating is underway on both the counters !!! One on the strength of established performance and excellent prospects and the other on sheer explosive growth prospects !!!! Let us see how much strength they have !!!! Lambi Race ke Ghode (now plural) :-D
ReplyDeletetotalview
As far as HNIs are concerned, it will be more beneficial for Gulshan, as it has always been highly illiquid stock, and failed to attract big investors. However, this time, it is looking good with such heavy volumes on the counter, even at this rate...
DeleteLooks like we might have plenty more to come in future..
Ricoh, in this rally, has caught the attention of almost all big investors... The volumes are indicative of the same fact. Lets see how much it can travel further...
It seems promoters would be now repenting their decision of cancelling the delisting proposal... :)
Two HNI value investors have already entered Gulshan Polyols with substantial holdings !!!
Deletetotalview
After encouraging performance on all parameters Singer should attract attention of HNI and Institutional Investors if not now atleast after next quarter performance !!! MNC pedigree will add to its premium valuation !!! However, right now it's trading at a PE of 25 !!!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
Marico Kaya has really transformed it's skin with it's skin-care treatments in very a very short period of less than two months !!! When the stock got listed arising out of demerger there were hoards of sellers in lakhs and lakhs on both BSE and NSE around 225 !!!! Now looking at the screen where it's popping 580 it looks like a sweet dream having gone completely broken for an investor like me who could pick up a few hundred !!! Rightly said "Jo dar gaya samjho mar gaya" !!!
ReplyDeletetotalview
My above writing on Marico Kaya should not be taken as recommendation to buy at CMP :-D !!!
DeleteI don't understand one thing - when Marico kaya was trading at 250-350 range no-one, even "totalview" was hesitated to say buy it now and suggested to wait further meaning had low confidence, But when it got rerated to 580 now everyone coming up and recommending to Buy Buy..why views are getting changed when stocks moves up or other way round.
ReplyDeleteYou people have very strong exp in this field and I'm just beginner, initially even I thought the price is too high and did not judge the valuation. Yes they have monopoly in that business/sector.
what I believe or understood so far that some stocks runs on people's sentiments first and then by fundamentals...what says?
Hi Mayur,
DeleteYour point is valid.
And let me tell you that I am still on that same opinion, and for your information, I still haven't bought a single share.
See, when you talk about our low confidence, that is because, it's into a new segment, and we are not sure on how valuation will be given to this new segment.
All stocks from different sectors, have different average P/E ratio, which indirectly means, that, each company is also valued on basis of its sector also, and not just based on its core fundamentals.
Secondly, you mentioned that "even, you thought the price is too high". We never said that, it was just that, we were not sure of what price is too high or too low.
Thirdly, you said that stocks runs on people's sentiments first and then by fundamentals. I never take any company that way. What I believe in, is that, if the fundamentals are good, more often than not, people's positive sentiments are bound to come on it, and then surprise you with the rally....
This is applicable to companies in existing sectors. In case of Marico Kaya, it was new experience for me, and I have learned from that.
Finally, I would say, you have observed behavior and based on it, formed your belief about companies and markets. That means you are not a beginner any more... :) :D
Thanks for the clarification and thats one more reason why i like this blog :)
DeleteAs long as marico kaya is concerned, lets see how long it continue upward journey, if i get chance to enter at low price will definitely go for it.
Now a days stocks with even good(not strong) fundamentals are flying like rockets. Earlier I think ppl tends to target for 25-40% growth on yearly basis but now you get those type of returns in couple of months or qtr. This may be because of market awareness in ppl and their interest beyond traditional FDs :)
Photoquip India is witnessing regular modest trading volumes with good delivery and hardening of share price. In the last 8-9 trading sessions more than 22K shares have been delivered. It seems promoters' proxies are at work.
ReplyDeletetotalview
Still not convincing volumes.... :(
DeleteRather than promoter proxies, I am looking for some retail participation on this counter...
Retail participation is ruled out unless there is improvement in the performance of the Company or Company comes out with aggressive ad campaign which is doubtful as it involves substantial cost !!!!
DeletePlease if you could throw some light on the land bank of control print and its valuation and how it can change the future valuations of the company..moreover what is your future outlook for the company based on its sector related with e-commerce.
ReplyDeleteLike Control Print....
DeletePositive on it in terms of valuations also...
Hi, studied annual reports of caplin point since 2008. After completion of their recent plant CP4, capacities will be around 3/4 th of ajanta.... Well i notice that since 2008
ReplyDeletetraded good:manufactured goods = 1.5:1. Why do this company making their main business trading ? Turnover is just going towards 200cr with huge scope for increments. If you haven't studied this company in depth, plz go through a little bit... Trading is providing very high margin , is it possible? Or have I misinterpreted trading goods meaning? Little bit confused over this one thing about company.
Will have to take a look at caplin..
DeleteWill let u know after study...
Hi Kunal, I would like to give you few hints. Please if you could crack this puzzle...Am a big fan of yours...I hope you wont deny..Please let me know this stock....
ReplyDeleteThis company operating in an Industry with decent growth potential.
# One promoter of this company is a well experienced veteran in this industry
# Co promoter of this company is another listed company which is one of the market leaders in an Industry .
# Promoters are holding more than 50 % stake in this company.
# Company’s current market cap is less than 25 % of its last year Sales.
# Face value of Stock is Rs.10.
# It is listed only in BSE.
# Company is more than 40 years old and listed in BSE for more than 10 years .
# In latest June quarter , Company reported growth in top- line and bottom line both on yearly and sequential basis.
# In latest June quarter , company reported sharp improvement in its OPM and NPM.
# MD of the company changed during last FY ( 2013-14).
# At the end of FY 2013 , company's debt is less than Rs.5 Cr.
Hi Kunal, I'm a silent follower of your blog since quite long and a great admirer of the great work that you are doing. Could you please share your analysis on Q3 results of Ganesha ecosphere.
ReplyDeleteThanks.