Friday, September 21, 2012

Thangamayil - A Multi-bagger In The Making







Thangamayil, who? This was the question that popped up in early 2010 when it was announced that Thangamayil Jewellery Ltd (TMJL), a jewellery retailer based in Madurai in southern Tamil Nadu, was coming out with a public issue. It was a modest IPO – for Rs 28.75 crore.

Stock performance:

Apart from the fact that shares of many jewellery retailers from the State who had entered the capital markets more than a decade back were either languishing or had virtually disappeared from investors’ radars, the Madurai outfit was not well known outside the region. It was not clear how the stock would perform once it was listed.

But the performance of the stock since listing has surprised those who track the markets. Thangamayil Jewellery, which traded at a discount on the day of its listing on the Bombay Stock Exchange in February 2010, has scarcely fallen below its Rs 75 issue price(face value of Rs 10) in the past two years. The lowest it recorded in FY 2010-11 was about Rs 80 in April 2010 from where it has been steadily ascending. True, market gyrations affected this stock too. But its valuations have remained always much higher than its offer price. 

You don’t need to go too far to understand the reasons for its strong stock market performance. Sales, which were Rs 127.15 crore in 2006-07, has grown nearly ten times in the past six years to Rs 1,131.61 crore in FY2011-12. Its net profit has moved up from Rs 4.02 crore to Rs 59.06 crore during the same period during which the company expanded its branch network. In the current fiscal, the company is targeting 50 per cent growth in income, to reach Rs 1750 crore. 

Branch expansion:

Mr Ba. Ramesh, Joint Managing Director, TMJL, Madurai, while explaining how the company got the confidence to go public when there were not many listed companies from southern Tamil Nadu, said that many companies from the region were “not going public due to their size.” But in TMJL’s case, the initial success in branch expansion gave him confidence “to scale-up the operation that in turn necessitated an equity fund-raising exercise”. The size of the issue, at about Rs 29 crore, was very small and its visibility was also low. He said “being a small issue, it sailed through” and no great efforts were made by merchant bankers and thanks to reasonable pricing, “a good amount of retail appetite was witnessed”.

The success story scripted by Thangamayil Jewellery also reinforces the belief in the growing purchasing might of the rural/semi urban population of the country, already established by the performance of the automobile and FMCG sectors in this market segment. And it has broken the myth that high value and fashionable products like jewellery are mainly patronised by the urban elite.

Out of its total branch network, only a handful – Madurai, Tuticorin, Salem and Coimbatore branches – are in municipal corporations.

Mr Ramesh said that more than 60 per cent of their current sales are from small branches. This ratio would only improve in coming years due to faster penetration into the business of the unorganized sector, whose presence is more in smaller towns, by the organised players in the industry. Another reason was the growing disposable income with the lower middle class because of their children getting into well-paying jobs in sectors such as software.
He argued that only bigger brands could offer “cost effective pricing due to their market positioning.”

Therefore, at the end of the day, both the customer and the company will benefit from TMJL’s strategy of penetrating the rural areas and small towns. For the time being, TMJL will be only in Tamil Nadu, till such time its consolidation process is over.

What could be a challenge is managing the supply chain since its branches are dispersed across 17 cities and towns spread in the State. 

Source: The Hindu Business Line

Stock Price Estimates:

Current Market Price: 218.3

Just 2 years back, TMJL IPO came and was offered to public at 75 Rs. It has gone strength to strength from then. Today, even after a appreciation of almost 300%, the stock looks good for much more.
Promoters of the company bought back around 3% of shares in March 2012 when it was around 150-170 levels. They have started buying again as suggested by SAST report on 20th Sept 2012.
Their average buying price works out to around 215 Rs per shares, which is a confidence booster among investors.






8 comments:

  1. Hi Bankar Buffet..........it is good step towards your interest.

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  2. Thanks Mickey...You can definitely invest in stocks mentioned to earn good profits in the long term

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  3. CRISIL Research has revised Thangamayil Jewellery Ltd’s (Thangamayil’s) CRISIL IER fundamental grade to 3/5 (pronounced three on five) from 2/5. The grade indicates that the company’s fundamentals are ‘good’ relative to other listed equity securities in India. CRISIL Research has assigned a valuation grade of 3/5, indicating that market price is ‘aligned’ to the current level of Rs 226. We also revise our one-year fair value to Rs 239 from Rs 204. The grades are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the graded instrument, or a comment on the graded instrument’s future market price or its suitability for a particular investor.
    Now that's a pretty good news...

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  4. Thangamayil Jewellery has reported a sales turnover of Rs 373.09 crore against 293.22 crore last year which is excellent..
    The Net Profit and hence the EPS has gone down this quarter on account of high Other Expenditure and increase in Employee Benefit expense...which is going to be proved a boon for the company in future....

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  5. Stock has hit a new high of 247 on BSE today....
    The stock moved much faster than expectations...
    Not sure about short term trade on this.....but its better to hold if you are a long term investor..

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  6. Another Good News In From Thangamayil Management:

    Thangamayil Jewellery Ltd has informed BSE that the Company is opening its 23rd (TWENTY THIRD) branch at Thirunelveli - on November 02, 2012 between 12.05 noon and 12.25 noon admeasuring 2970 sqft.

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  7. Thangamayil hits all time high of 283 on account of new branch opening tomorrow....
    All the best

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  8. Target given for 6-9 months already achieved.......
    Congrats to all those who invested...
    The script definitely moved much faster than expectations..but that is because their growth story seems awesome..

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