With this post, my focus would be to talk about companies which have attracted me with continuous out performance over past few quarters and that too, from some of the unpopular sectors.
I have always written about the companies we are following since long, but this time, since I don't have many new updates, am using the opportunity to write about some of the new names I have been following.
Obviously, if any one has any question on our regularly followed companies, please drop a question in comments section and I will reply to it as soon as possible.
1) Shivalik Bimetal Controls:
Came across the name when I was asked for my views on it by one of my friend. Initially because of some personal reasons, I was not able to dig much into it, however have tried off-late and it seems I am in a position to call it one of the companies nicely poised for growth.
It is mainly engaged in manufacturing of Bimetals and Shunt Resistors. The company went through a bad patch earlier when Television technology was growing fast and people moved from usual old school screens to LCDs and LEDs, as it used manufacture CRT tubes.
Starting with current business, first thing is obviously Bimetals as the name suggests, which as per wikipedia means an object that is composed of two separate metals joined together. Instead of being a mixture of two or more metals, like alloys, bimetallic objects consist of layers of different metals. It is used where you need to detect the temperature or current for e.g. fire alarm. It might sound small, but has huge number of applications. The areas covered by the company are nicely listed here:
http://www.shivalikbimetals.com/applications.php?pageId=17
The second important product manufactured by the company are Shunt Resistors. They are low resistance precision resistors used to measure AC or DC electrical currents by the voltage drop that those currents create across the resistance. They form an integral part of Battery Management System or Intelligent Battery Sensor for vehicles as well as Electronic Energy Meter. For more details, follow:
http://www.shivalikbimetals.com/product_details.php?pID=3
For both the products, they have very solid customer base, and this is one area with high entry barrier, hence it is not easier to find much competition that could lead to much of a pricing pressure. Currently, their customers supplies BMS mentioned above to the Electric Vehicle Manufacturers. In future, they are targeting to supply themselves, which could bring them in limelight and hence better market share.
Coming to good and the bad part together, which is their current valuation. The company is already trading around 35 P/E, which is much higher than what we usually expect from small cap company. However, the growth is very attractive and on top of it, the application of their products excites me about the possible growth in future.
Historic growth has been modest, but if you look at past few quarters, the growth is improving by leaps and bounds. For the first 9 months of FY'18, they have posted a sales growth of 28% and profit growth of 90%. The balance sheet seems very stable and reduction of Debt:Equity ratio every year is also appreciable. It is very good dividend player as well. Last year, they declared a bonus of 1:1 which is also commendable for such a small firm.
All readers can go through the company's detail and share their thought on the same.
Once again, this is not at all any recommendation. I have just shared a company name which impressed me with its numbers.
2) Kingfa Life Sciences:
Kingfa Science & Technology is a leading manufacturer and supplier of high quality Reinforced Polypropylene Compounds, Thermoplastics Elastomers and Fibre Re-Inforced composites. The applications of said products is available here:
http://www.hssil.com/frmProducts.aspx
I have always written about the companies we are following since long, but this time, since I don't have many new updates, am using the opportunity to write about some of the new names I have been following.
Obviously, if any one has any question on our regularly followed companies, please drop a question in comments section and I will reply to it as soon as possible.
1) Shivalik Bimetal Controls:
Came across the name when I was asked for my views on it by one of my friend. Initially because of some personal reasons, I was not able to dig much into it, however have tried off-late and it seems I am in a position to call it one of the companies nicely poised for growth.
It is mainly engaged in manufacturing of Bimetals and Shunt Resistors. The company went through a bad patch earlier when Television technology was growing fast and people moved from usual old school screens to LCDs and LEDs, as it used manufacture CRT tubes.
Starting with current business, first thing is obviously Bimetals as the name suggests, which as per wikipedia means an object that is composed of two separate metals joined together. Instead of being a mixture of two or more metals, like alloys, bimetallic objects consist of layers of different metals. It is used where you need to detect the temperature or current for e.g. fire alarm. It might sound small, but has huge number of applications. The areas covered by the company are nicely listed here:
http://www.shivalikbimetals.com/applications.php?pageId=17
The second important product manufactured by the company are Shunt Resistors. They are low resistance precision resistors used to measure AC or DC electrical currents by the voltage drop that those currents create across the resistance. They form an integral part of Battery Management System or Intelligent Battery Sensor for vehicles as well as Electronic Energy Meter. For more details, follow:
http://www.shivalikbimetals.com/product_details.php?pID=3
For both the products, they have very solid customer base, and this is one area with high entry barrier, hence it is not easier to find much competition that could lead to much of a pricing pressure. Currently, their customers supplies BMS mentioned above to the Electric Vehicle Manufacturers. In future, they are targeting to supply themselves, which could bring them in limelight and hence better market share.
Coming to good and the bad part together, which is their current valuation. The company is already trading around 35 P/E, which is much higher than what we usually expect from small cap company. However, the growth is very attractive and on top of it, the application of their products excites me about the possible growth in future.
Historic growth has been modest, but if you look at past few quarters, the growth is improving by leaps and bounds. For the first 9 months of FY'18, they have posted a sales growth of 28% and profit growth of 90%. The balance sheet seems very stable and reduction of Debt:Equity ratio every year is also appreciable. It is very good dividend player as well. Last year, they declared a bonus of 1:1 which is also commendable for such a small firm.
All readers can go through the company's detail and share their thought on the same.
Once again, this is not at all any recommendation. I have just shared a company name which impressed me with its numbers.
2) Kingfa Life Sciences:
Kingfa Science & Technology is a leading manufacturer and supplier of high quality Reinforced Polypropylene Compounds, Thermoplastics Elastomers and Fibre Re-Inforced composites. The applications of said products is available here:
http://www.hssil.com/frmProducts.aspx
If I start writing here, I might make it huge post in terms of length. Instead, I decided to just share the pic listing their clients which I found on google:
I would like to speak more on its numbers. It was one of the loss making companies until FY'15. Even though the company is still not making huge profits, but it has been a good ride up since then. The margins are very very low, but they have been improving each quarter.
The balance sheet also have some positives. Again till FY'15, the reserves were nill against debt of 75 Cr, and at the end of FY'17, they stood at debt:equity ratio of 0.3. From just 200 Cr in FY'15, it is likely to post annual revenues of about 600 Cr this year. Profitability wise as well, this will be one of better year for the company.
Coming to major negative, which is very heavy dependency on crude. The impact is not much seen on numbers because of modest profits in prior quarters, but going forward, it will be interesting to see how company copes up with the situation. Also, if we look at the current valuations, it is trading at P/E of more than 50. It can be called over-valued, but I would slightly differ in saying that it is trading based on forward earnings. The profit growth is likely to be more than 100% for next year or 2, but now with crude challenge, it has come under scrutiny. Let's wait and watch.
I have also been studying few more companies, but not able to reach conclusion yet. Hence thought of posting at least these 2 companies in the meanwhile, so that you guys are start research with me on those.
Discloure:
I am not a research analyst, nor an investment adviser. Through this post, I am only putting my views, and which has nothing to do with any action that can be taken by readers on any specific company.
I am not a research analyst, nor an investment adviser. Through this post, I am only putting my views, and which has nothing to do with any action that can be taken by readers on any specific company.
Dear Kunal,
ReplyDeletewhat is your view on below mentioned stocks ?
Deepak Nitrite
Nitin Spinners
Aditya Birla F
Nesco
Everest Ind
Nitin Spinners is one of the better companies in the sector. But you should be ready for ups and downs being in textile business. From numbers, I don't see much concerns apart from debt, but that's expected because of type of business, though I would still say it is in higher end.
DeleteI generally don't prefer such a sector as Aditya Birla Fashion is in, but if I just look at numbers in those sector, I like Arvind more. Not studied ABF in detail before, so can't comment on it.
Nesco is very good company, with excellent promoters and a very stable business model.
Not tracking others.
Thanks!
Dear Kunal,
ReplyDeleteCan you please share your view on below mentioned stocks ?
Opto Circuits
Bilcare
Avadh Sugar
Amal
GNFC
Ganesh Housing
Healthcare Glob
High Energy
Kolte-Patil
Radico Khaitan
Sunteck Realty
Ganesh Housing corporation
I generally avoid digging into companies having major financial concerns, like Opto Circuits and Bilcare. I am not good at analysing those.
DeleteKolte Patil is one of the stocks getting followed in this blog since almost a year now. You will find few posts with details on it.
Like its financials more than Ganesh Housing Corp.
Healthcare is decent, but i am concerned about its important ratios. ROE and ROCE are disappointing. Lower margin is the reason behind it. It has been improving since past 2 years. Let's see how far can they go. Difficult to take a call without digging more into it.
Unfortunately, I have not been tracking others.
Thanks!
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteAny update on your chosen pharma stocks, is it a ripe time to enter any of them - Granules (it seems owners have pledged their share), Ajanta (trouble in Africa) and Torrent pharma
Sorry for the delayed response.
DeleteAjanta Pharma doesn't seem to have lost its fundamentals in my opinion. As you mentioned, trouble in Africa and generic pricing pressure in pharma industry is leading to slightly muted growth in sales and crude pricing leading to slight impact on margins.
However, the important part being they are growing in most of the stable markets which could drive the growth in coming years. As a matter of fact, their India sales growth of more than 10% is still intact. Regarding price, I cannot comment on that. In terms of business, I would wait for one more year and see if there is any turnaround in numbers.
With Granules India, I have got no idea what changed so drastically to reduce the price by more than 50% from highs. Crude prices as mentioned by management was the main factor leading to downfall in margins last quarter. Sales growth on the other hand, was infact highest in past many quarters if I am not wrong.
Offloading of shares by FIIs and big individuals this quarter though could be the reason why investors are losing confidence.
Let's see what happens next. If you ask me personally, the company that has showed some consistent growth over past few years and good future prospects for future deserves some time to prove themselves.
These are strictly my opinions on both the companies and has nothing to do with any action that investors can take based on this.
Thanks!
Hi kunal sir,
ReplyDeleteYour valuable view on kesar petroproduct
Hello,
DeleteUnfortunately, I was not tracking the company, but going through it while looking at your question, has made me interested in it. :)
Are you aware of any negatives leading to such downfall? I saw nothing in raw look at the fundamentals.
Thanks!
Any views on tube Investmwent of India - a murugappa grp company
ReplyDeleteI will try to have a look at the current credentials of the company, but here is the link for the post I shared earlier on the company..
Deletehttps://fundamentalstockideas.blogspot.com/2014/11/tube-investments-of-india-case-of.html
Will get back to you.
Regards!
Dear Kunal,
ReplyDeleteHow are you? Hope all good from your end.After a long gap,have visited your gap,luckily i got your new update.Do you think,now the valuation of both company at current company is attractive or still we can expect some correction.
On another note,do you have any update on kitex,which lost more than 70% ?
Thanks for your support..
Hi Satheesh, very happy to see you back.
DeleteI am doing good. Thank you!
In terms of valuations, I am not sure what to tell you.
These days I am not able to predict at all on how market is going to value a company. I am just seating with patience on fundamentally strong stocks, irrespective of their recent appreciation or depreciation.
Both the above mentioned companies look good to me, but can't comment on whether it can go through more correction.
Will just keep tracking their numbers and performance.
Sorry, but I am not tracking Kitex Garments.
Regards!
Hey Kunal, hope u r doing well.
ReplyDeleteWhat's eating camlin fine science man?
Hi, I am doing well. Thank you!
DeleteIf you are talking about stock prices, then I am no one to comment on that. Performance wise, I don't think there is very much to worry about at this stage. Company has been able to grow decently in sales. Their subsidiaries are performing well.
Profit is major concern, but that happens when most of their subsidiaries are in strength building phase.
Once it starts turning into profits, suddenly people will start feeling gung ho about the company.
However, this has nothing to do with any action that can be taken by investors. Take your call based on your analysis.
Thanks!
Hey Kunal,
ReplyDeleteWhich all shares are you tracking right now? And with market taking a hit, which all shares do you think are a good buy now which were appreciated earlier.
No reply from your side, please take out somw time from your busy schedule and help us in clearing our doubts.
DeleteHi Ashok,
DeleteReally sorry but have been out of stocks for some time, especially because of involved travelling in job currently.
Since the day I came out of India, I am finding it extremely difficult to stay involved. More so because of the time difference as well.
I apologise to all the readers. I will definitely try harder to reply to all your comments and come up with new posts.
Among the stocks that are followed here, I am approaching to buy or increase holdings in Salzer Electronics, SSWL, Shivalik Bimetal, Granules India, Banco Products, NOCIL and PSP Projects.
DeleteSome of the news ones that were never discussed on this blog are Stylam Ind, NCL Ind and HEG.
Frankly speaking, until Elections 2019, it is not easy to predict anything in the market. Every other day, you will see a different mood and markets may keep on showing very heavy volatility.
The listed stocks cannot be taken as recommendation. Solely my views based on my analysis.
Regards,
Kunal Banker
Thanks for your reply Kunal....these are all old stocks which were mentioned on your blog earlier.....Please share some new stocks under your radar, it will be healthier discussion if you have done analysis<30% as we will also be able to contribute unbiased opinions about it...
DeleteFew of the new ones are listed above. Plus places where I am not yet done are GMM Pfaudler, Oriental Carbons & Chemicals, Hikal and Natco Pharma (Even at these levels).
DeleteAll of you can share your thoughts on these.
Thanks!
After the prolonged correction,lot of smallcap stocks had shed their high prices and now sitting in their value zone.Sir,could you kindly find some time from your busy schedule to give updates on a few stocks without giving any buy/sell recommendations.Thanking you in anticipation
ReplyDeletebhaskar1
Hi Bhaskar, just posted the list above.
DeleteHowever, I am still digging into few other names, where I am not even 30% done with my analysis. Cannot post those names here as yet.
As I said above, will be more active on this forum starting today.
Your comments will give me more and more motivation to be here.
Thank you for your patience!!!
Glad to see you back Kunal!! Even m based out of New York and understand the time zone diff, appreciate your efforts here man....
ReplyDeleteShare your views on Somany ceramics, is it still worth it to hold it? Have declined like crazy....results are pathetic....do you think a turnaround is possible for this scrip?
This quarter numbers were way below expectations. Digging into what happened in detail and visibility in near future.
DeleteManagement raised following concerns:
Disruption in gas supply due to routine maintenance of gas pipeline impacted production for a week at our Northern plant. Industry also faced multiple challenges during the
quarter.
The truckers strike in July and Kerala floods in August impacted sales.
Rising crude prices coupled with currency volatility led to high fuel costs impacting margins and profitability.
Will update in few days, with conclusive answer.
Thanks!
Hi Kunal,
ReplyDeleteCould you please share your current thoughts/take on BEPL and Kingfa science tech..
No change in views for Kingfa Science. The results were as expected. Sales growth continues to be strong. Profits were down for obvious reasons.
DeleteDon't think there are any concerns at this point. Stock prices are dependent on many factors as we have always learnt.
Regarding BEPL, things didn't go so well in past 6 months for them, but don't think there are any long term issues.
Sales growth was back on track this quarter after Q1, because of fire incident. Balance Sheet and Cash Flows are looking great since last couple of years. Their AGM this time was very encouraging too with amazing growth projection. 11 Cr was forex loss this quarter which took toll on the profit numbers. Mutual Funds have overall increased their holdings in the company in past 2 years.
Thanks Kunal for taking time to share your thoughts on these 2 stocks.
ReplyDeleteNot able to recollect if i have posted this recently, but Banco Products is another company that i like and believe is poised for good growth in coming years. The management has been top class. There are hardly any small cap players with such high dividend yield. The balance sheet is highly stable, good cash flows and it has been showing good sales growth since many quarters now.
ReplyDeleteHi Kunal
ReplyDeleteThanks for becoming active again and posting strong stocks. Please have a look at National peroxide too - Little expensive but churning out amazing profits. Please do express views.
Appreciation to my father who stated to me concerning this website, this weblog
ReplyDeleteis actually awesome.
Hey Kunal long time, anyways elections r done and we have a majority govt, waiting for your views and new findings.
ReplyDelete