Saturday, January 10, 2015

2 Interesting Small Cap Companies - A Case Study For Readers

1) Vinyl Chemicals - Pidilite Ka Saath Hai, Chootega Nahi

The Company is currently engaged mainly in trading of Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM). The Company will validate the opportunity and decide whether to expand trading activity by trading in other chemicals.
The price and demand of various chemicals undergo fluctuations. Similarly, there are fluctuations in foreign currency rates. Hence, there is an inherent risk in trading activities.

Talking about history, VAM was manufactured in the plant located at Mahad in Raigad Dist, Maharashtra , India and was sold all over the World. The company was having major share of business of this product in India. Lately during Dec'07 the said plant was de-merged to resultant parent company M/s. Pidilite Industries Ltd for strategic reasons.
However, the Company's main focus remains in its product, VAM. The VAM is now imported/sourced from various Global suppliers and distributed / traded in India. M/s. Vinyl Chemicals India Ltd. will maintain its major presence in the field of Trading of various Speciality Chemicals in future all over the world.

Under the strong hands of Pidilite group, the company is secured as the parent company will protect its own image. It falls on the positive side of what is called a SWeT effect by Mr Amit Arora
http://multibaggersindia.blogspot.com/2012/02/swet-effect.html

Talking about the numbers, I don't see any major negatives.
The company has been giving very good quarters off late and might continue to do so.
The company is also debt free.
ROE has been superb for last 3 and 5 years.
The dividend payout history is also very good.
The company has been growing at a CAGR of 32% in sales and 20% in profit for last 5 years.
All these positives have taken the stock from levels around 10 to levels close to 100 now in past year, but is it enough?

The only concern why I am not putting this as a direct suggestion, is that, I am not convinced about the way management is going about their business. They have shifted their focus based on the context i.e. from manufacturing to trading now, as they find this more profitable one.
However, I may be wrong here in my judgement.


2) Indian Toners And Developers - Commited To Excellence

This is probably the 3rd time, I have found a stock, which was not in my radar, but was suggested by some of the readers of this blog. I thank all the reader for their queries on this blog, as it increases my knowledge and my radar.

Indian Toners & Developers Ltd. is India’s largest manufacturer and exporter of compatible toners for use in laser printers, the new age digital machines, multi-function printers, analogue copiers as well as wide format printers and copiers. Indian Toners & Developers Ltd. also offers premium quality chemical color toner products for use in laser printers and copiers. Indian Toners formed a subsidiary by the name of ITDL Imagetec Limited which became operational in 2009. While the manufacturing plant of the parent company i.e. Indian Toners is located in Rampur (U.P.), the manufacturing facility of its subsidiary, ITDL Imagetec, is located at Sitarganj (Uttarakhand).

Indian Toners & Developers Ltd. has a manufacturing capacity to produce 2400 metric tons of toners per annum. The facility at Rampur has a manufacturing capacity of 1200 metric tons of toner per annum, while the facility at Sitargunj also has a manufacturing capacity of 1200 metric tons of toner per annum, with a total of 4 production lines (600 metric tons each).
As per the Annual Report of FY'14, the subsidiary company is planning to expand its manufacturing capacity from 1200 MT to 1800 MT by 31st March, 2015.

Again, we have a company, which is debt free and trading at almost the same level as its book value.

Talking about numbers, the company has been growing at a CAGR of 14% in sales and almost 34% in profit for last 5 years. This year, so far, the sales have gone up by 18% and profit by 27%, which is very decent.
Based on FY'14 numbers, the company is currently trading at a P/E multiple of just above 6. Looking at six months data so far, it is expected that the annual EPS will be even higher.
Also, with the expansion getting completed in about 3-4 months, we can expect a much better performance in times to come.
The cash flow also has been impressive for past few years.
During the year FY'14, the company incurred R & D expenses of Rs. 48.58 lacs in various heads.
In terms of export, in FY'14, the company was able to increase it by 20% over past year

To check all the awards received by the company so far, visit:
http://www.indiantoners.com/awards.aspx

The few concern I have, is that in spite of making decent profit, the company is not paying dividend. Also, most of the revenues (almost 100%) is coming from export, and hence frequent and wide fluctuations in foreign currency and tough competition in the international market continues to be a challenge for your company.

Overall, I like the data and prospects of the company, and feel, it has the potential to achieve much more.

Note:
In both the cases, I completely leave it up to the reader to decide his/her way of approaching this company now, as I have put all the pros and cons to the best of the knowledge, I have about the company. I am not sure of the multibagger potential of both these names, but they seems to have the ability to become one. Hence I am not putting both of them as direct suggestion.

I do not have vested interest in both the stocks at present.

All The Best!!!!

121 comments:

  1. thanks and keep up the good workk.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi kunal, pls share your views on Astral Poly Teknik?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Very strong fundamentally, but has achieved a lot in past 5 years...
      Can be considered a safe bet, with steady returns..

      Delete
  3. Hi Kunal, do you think Granules India still has the potential to be multibagger from current price, atleast 2 times from current price? Pls help.

    ReplyDelete
  4. can we consider that you have not vested interest in both above companies? but agree companies have high potentials and i'm already holding Vinyl.
    thanks
    -mayur

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, I do not have vested interest at present...
      Thanks for reminding, I will rather put it in the note section..

      Delete
  5. Thanks for this lovely research. As i am already investor in Indian toner. My second query regarding Shree Haree chemical how a 10 Rs stock almost become 20 times in a year. And how does its become half of its in very shorts of time. Is its manipulation or having great investment opportunities. Second i am a investor in AMD Industries which is just almost matching multibagger criteria product and client is much attractive cash reserve 100 cr . Kindly advise me on both of these company too. GOD BLESS YOU SIR JEE

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Hashmat Ali,

      If I am not wrong, you only helped me in finding out Indian Toners recently. Thanks for that.

      Regarding Shree Hari Chemicals, I will take a look, but it will helpful if you could help me figure out few things. Why there is so much variations in quarterly results. After earning 70 Cr in Mar'12, what happened in Mar'13 that the sales were down to 15 Cr.
      Also, put some positives if you know.

      Difficult to judge AMD Ind, as mentioned few days back..

      Regards.

      Delete
  6. Hi Kunal,

    Excellent analysis. The way you have thrown light on both the positive and negative aspect really fantastic.

    Considering one's risk taking capacity, one can enter based on the concerns you have raised.

    Regards,
    RK

    ReplyDelete
  7. Indian toners the huge difference in revenue on standalone and consolidated numbers what ever growth has to come from image tech the subsidiary only where in the parent company holding only 51% but remaining is individual holding of the promoter all calculations has to be on stanalone numbers even there the authorised share capital is high with chance for dilution otherwise the father son duo is good and ethical guys.
    As far vinyl chem the management is shrewd but something is fishy and not right about them don't know what but it will come out in future i may be wrong also
    But really surprised to see such stock selection from people of your calibre but remaining your stocks such a SWISS GLASS ORINTAL TECHNOCRAFT IND even the one under discussion ASSOCIATED ALCOHOL are all really GEM of. Sorry I didn't mean to be offensive it is just out the respect I have for your other suggestions I found that this two INADIAN TONERS and Vinyl chem as odd candidates which doesn't suit your bill. Thanks and regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Kumaresh,

      I appreciate your views, and won't try to defend myself, as I understand the mixed opinion with these 2 companies. You didn't pay attention, but that is why I mentioned that these are not direct recommendation/suggestion, but just a case study, which readers can have a look and decide...
      Regarding remaining stocks, I already said I am positive on them, and Swiss Glascoat is already posted earlier..
      Regarding Associated Alcohol, I am still not sure, and hence taking my time, as I always believe that it is better to be safe than sorry later.

      In these names, I am a bit confused and hence not directly putting/showing them as multibagger.

      Regards.

      Delete
  8. I think that is well justified. cant be rude on Kunal for that.
    - Gaurav

    ReplyDelete
  9. Earlier you said you are positive on aarti drugs. After that it has appreciated a lot in past 2 weeks. Are you still positive on it? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 20-30% rise in price, doesn't normally change my view on it, unless you are a long term investor..

      Delete
  10. Dear Kunal
    Dont you think Vinyl is fairly priced now . With an estimated EPS of 8-9( Last year EPS was 4) and PE of 12. Vinyls 85 % of sales are from Pidlite.Is pidilte growth doubled or import price of VAM reduced for such a growth of Vinyl
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Growth depends on lots of factors..
      It supplies VAM to Pidilite as well as other group companies..
      It comprises of about 80% of total revenues. Their distribution network seems to be improving outside Pidilite group also off late...
      Apart from that, fluctuations in price of VAM could also lead to such difference in revenues of the company...
      It might seem fair valued, but still seems to have good potential, as company is thinking of commencing trading of some other chemicals also, which could lead to further growth...
      Thats my opinion, and I may be wrong here. Lack of communication from management is one of the problem, as we don't have much info directly available from press releases.

      Lets wait and hope for the best!!!

      Regards.

      Delete
  11. what is your view on GKB oplathemic and Samtex fashion. Subsidiaries of both these companies are doing very well as per their annual reports . whether we should invest in these companies or not ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Regarding Samtex, their debt:equity ratio is close to 6, which is rare to see. The cash flow also has been negative for past 2 years...
      I personally, didn't like the company much...

      Regarding GKB, I will have to take a deeper look. Will let you know..

      Delete
  12. Thank you Kunal for taking it in the right spirit it just the respect for your other suggestions and well intention of your towards small investors like us made me to mention the above and yes I did pay attention that it is not your direct reco. Thanking you once again as regards associated alcohol once you finished your research please to share it with us with warm regards and respect

    ReplyDelete
  13. Are you still tracking Infinite Computer Solutions?
    If yes, please share your views on it.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No, sold entire stake at 150 few quarters back after buying around 80...
      Somehow, I find it difficult to judge IT Companies, hence I don't miss out on opportunities if I am getting almost 100% profit..

      Delete
  14. what is your view on Dutron Poly. promoter increasing their holding, dividend paying

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Give me some time...
      Will take a look and post details if I like the company..
      A bit busy these days... :)

      Delete
  15. Dear Sir , Any views on INTELLECT DESIGN ARENA ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Like the presence of the company but slightly worried about the sector of operations...
      will post more details after the detailed study..

      Delete
  16. your views on Granules India at current market price?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Don't think there has been any event which could have changed my opinion on it...
      Still positive on it..

      Delete
    2. But one thing is for sure.. for a severe re-rating from these levels, company has to improve margins...
      Even if they are able to achieve 12% net margins, it could lead to a big rally in future...

      Delete
  17. both Dutron Poly and GKB were locked in upper circuit for second consecutive day. Please give your view as earlier.

    ReplyDelete
  18. I might not be able to hurry in my decision making process based on rally in that particular stock...
    You wont believe but among recent picks, i started tracking Swiss Glascoat at 50 and finally put it on blog around 100 levels, when I was 100% sure about it...

    As i have repeatedly said, it is better to be late in good stocks rather than hurrying on to mediocre stocks because of 1 or 2 triggers...
    if your stock keeps performing, you will get returns from every level... :)

    ReplyDelete
  19. Just started following your blog and feeling unlucky to have missed out on earlier recommendations.
    Thanks for the hard work.

    ReplyDelete
  20. your views on banking stocks after today's move?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not tracking banking sector as a whole...
      But if you back to previous queries, I have always liked Yes Bank, since it was trading around 300 levels...
      Not tracking any one of them at present..

      Delete
  21. What happened to Indian Toners today, sudden up move? Thanks
    -Gaurav

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not tracking stocks on daily basis right now, as I am on leave for the festival... :)
      But don't think there is any new update on the company.. Not sure though..

      Delete
  22. Your views on Orient Green Power please

    ReplyDelete
  23. what is take on banco products?

    ReplyDelete
  24. what is your view on Rubfila. debt free, good promoter holding, dividend paying.but not moving from last 2 months

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Everything is good except the heavy dependency on rubber, as mentioned earlier...
      Dependency on one commodity can sometimes be risky..
      But no doubt over its data so far...

      Delete
  25. Dear Sir are you tracking SAMKRG PISTONS & RINGS LTD ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stopped tracking after poor FY'13, but company seems to have recovered well after that..
      Plus company has also reduced debt...
      Not a bad option considering the turnaround in auto sector..

      Delete
  26. Hi Kunal,

    Please provide your valuable comments and any new and future developments in the following stocks :

    1. Mold Teck packaging : QIP issue as you had predicted

    2. Sunil hi tech

    3. Patels Airtemp

    4. Mindteck : Please if you could track this from IT sector.

    5. Gulshan Polyols :

    I would eagerly wait to get this posted and hear from you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Positive on all the stocks mentioned except Mindteck..
      Will try and have a look at that in next week...
      I am on holidays this week...

      Delete
  27. Thanks for the reply

    ReplyDelete
  28. Your thoughts on jagan lamps?

    ReplyDelete
  29. Hi Kunal

    Thanks for the clean website with very helpful information. During my initial days of investing , made really rude steps .
    I am loosing opportunity cost and also the capital risk.COuld you please suggest on the following

    1 lkh on each
    -------------
    Unitech (29 -> 12)
    GVK (17 -> 10)
    Parsvanth (31 -> 17)
    Tata power(99->82)

    50 thousand on each
    -------------------
    JP power -> (24 ->12) Sold recently
    India bulls power -> (14->9)
    Era infra ( 28->7)


    You might laugh what made be do crazy like this . Yes I was and realized late but not sure on exact steps.If I have 2 yrs view.
    Could you please suggest to what can be hold or average or just get out of these.
    I can accept losses as I have no other option.

    Thanks
    Sridhar

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sridhar,

      There is nothing to laugh in it. Everybody makes mistake and important thing is to learn from that mistake, and I am no exception to that...
      The stocks you have invested in might have been better placed at that time, which might have driven your money into it...

      Regarding particular names, frankly speaking, I am not into any of the mentioned stocks in detail, so I would not be the best person to guide, but I will still present my views on the overall scenario you are placed in.

      After the recent cut in interest rates, and expectations of more rate cuts this year, you can wait and watch if real estate and infra stocks benefits from it. The scene would be more clear by end of FY'16...
      In the meantime, you can watch their prices, and see if you can exit, even in no profit no loss scenario. That's not a bad option either, considering the fact that you might have benefited from some recent multibaggers.

      Apart from that, in power sector, you can wait for Tata Power to appreciate a bit, as your buying price is not that far. In the meantime, there could also be a scenario, where there is some positive news/momentum in Tata Power, which could give you decent returns also. Not sure about any other power cos.

      Sorry, but as I am not tracking any of the stocks, I can only help you with this much info.

      Hope that helps.

      Regards.

      Delete
    2. Thank you Kunal . I will wait and keep close eye on prices . Unless there a real reason and if any stocks rise again based on HOPE , I will exit what ever I can . Dlink saved me quite a bit . I have 2 more baggers but very small amount when compared with losses and didn't help in overall portfolio. All the loss stocks mentioned above , I bought at one go and after that I started buying by splitting 4-5 times. Because of that I am not able to allocate good amount to these baggers , however this strategy didn't put me in losses and am happy with that.

      Thank you
      Sridhar

      Delete
    3. Yes, it is important to split your investment in one company, as it reduces the risk of loss, rather than increased chances of more profit.

      Apart from that, in stock markets, I have one policy, and I invest only that much amount of money which I can afford to lose. Even if all stocks becomes 0, it should not bother me. Thats my strategy. I know, I could have earned more by investing my savings also, but I am not interested in that. I believe in tension free life... :)

      Delete
    4. WOW!!!! Nice to see a person without greedy even though your investment style is quite good and secured one (the way you have chosen the stock picks are amazing and mostly not inclined any loss as far as I am tracking over the two years)

      Delete
  30. Dear kunal,

    Pls share ur view on

    LINCOLN PHARMACEUTICALS,
    SUNIL HEALTHCARE LTD,
    Himatsingka Seid
    Adani Ports
    South india paper mills.

    Regards,
    Venkat

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Venkat,

      I am slightly positive on Lincoln and South India Paper Mills.
      Adani Ports is good, but has appreciated a lot and is already a big company, so make your choice wisely.
      Not tracking Himatsingka Seide.
      Sunil Healthcare is never heard of, so I will take a look once and get back to you.

      Regards.

      Delete
  31. Dear Kunal
    Kindly share your view on gelatine business? (nitta gelatin)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry, not tracking the entire sector as of now...

      Delete
  32. plz tell me about result of tomorrow capri global . expectation

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thats too much to ask from me, how can I comment about upcoming results.. :)
      Lets see. I posted the details regarding their good prospectus, which is not restricted to just 1 quarter results...
      Most of the stocks discussed here are for long term investments only...

      Delete
  33. Indian Toners set on fire, thanks for the pick

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sir, it might have increased suddenly, but still, it wasn't suggested as short term option... :)

      Delete
  34. sorry krunal by mistake sentence type. i mean what about y"r view for view for capri global and tomorrow has their result. my que. but still your view bullish for long term . get my ans. sorry for again

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Nirav,

      Yes, I still like the company, and feel it has potential, but its bad history is still hanging onto it, which might be restricting its move, as far as what I feel...
      And that too, can't be considered wrong, as investors will definitely fear, if something did went wrong earlier with the company..

      So, the decision has to be based on one's belief, but still, you can have a look at this report from reputed brokerage firm:
      http://www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/news/article/article_pdf.php?autono=1225876&num=0

      Delete
  35. Hai Kunal mind to have a look at HIL this year result is quiet outstanding can they sustain it the sector is good though the product has unorganised players. Awaiting your view on associated alcholol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. HIL definitely has lots of positives, but still as you said, there is a bit of worry..
      However, with growth returning. this would be one of the sector which will benefit more..
      So, one can keep an eye on it.. Nothing conclusive as of now from my side..

      Delete
  36. Some good news for one of our old stock:

    Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd has informed BSE that the equity shares of the Company shall be listed and admitted to dealing the National Stock Exchange of India Limited w.e.f. January 20, 2015.

    ReplyDelete
  37. sir, Please share your views on Eco Recycling and Umang diary(JK group company)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. At present, have some concerns with data of Eco Recycling like ROE being extremely less, operational cash flow being negative for past 2 years etc.
      Off late they have given some good quarters.
      Will have to track more before concluding...
      In the meantime, you can take a look at Ganesha Ecosphere, in similar sort of business..

      Not tracking Umang Dairies..

      Delete
  38. Hi Kunal, Always your valuable suggestions benefitted me. I saw suven life sciences acquired four patent rights (1-Australia, 1- Honkong and 2- Japan).
    So I want to know your perspective about Suven life sciences and Camlin fin in current situation for long term investment.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Sridhar,

      Suven has been acquiring various patents in various countries in rapid pace, if you see the news regarding the company in past 1 year. So, that's not something new for them. They are growing very well..

      Regarding the price, both Suven and Camlin, have grown by 700% - 900% since their initial discussion on this blog, so naturally it is difficult to predict whether enty at current price is smart move or not. But if you are thinking long term, I think Suven still seems a good option. Camlin to me, seems a bit over-valued looking at its fundamentals, though it has some positives which are driving it...

      If you are already holding both of them, you can continue to hold, or sell partial quantity, which would not be a bad move as always.

      Hope that helps!!

      Regards.

      Delete
  39. SSWL came out with numbers on 19th, and it seems that our expectation of this, being their recovery phase seems to be very true. Another good set of numbers, especially after what their monthly report of Oct suggested i.e. degrowth of 10% on account of more holidays in Oct due to festive season, as well as state election in Haryana and Maharashtra.
    Company looks likely to achieve an annual EPS of 25 this year, which will be very good, when compared to 16 last year...

    The stock has already appreciated by close to 40% since its initial discussion on this blog, in past 6 months or so..

    ReplyDelete
  40. Hello KUNAL SIR HOW R U? Sir i just want to know few technical aspect regarding stock? HOW do you take a call on stock who broken its 3 months range even already fundamental strong stock? as i have notice first market try to hide such a stock then few days after stock rose and came in uptrend sir am i right? sir which is best technical indicator used for identifying support and resistance of a stock? is it 20 DMA? HOW DOES YOU FIND STOCK BODY TO TRADE AS MOST OF THE BOOK SAYS TRADE ON BODY? THANK YOU SIR. GOD BLESS YOU

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry Ali, as I have been repeatedly putting on this blog that I am not at all interested in short term trading, so can't help you much with that...

      Delete
  41. hello kunal,

    I need your views about following stocks which i kept in my portfolio for long term.

    1) gujarat borosil
    2) galaxy entertainment
    3) gtl infrastructure

    thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gujarat Borosil may test your patience, as it might take time for a good recovery which seems to have started, but one has to keep track of it..
      Not tracking Galaxy, and GTL infra..

      Delete
  42. Hi,

    please share your views on manali petrochemicals

    Thanks
    Arvind

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Too early to predict at this stage, as this year so far has been good for the company, after flat 3 years...
      Nothing conclusive from my side at this moment...

      Delete
  43. whats your take on Dynemic Products after raising fund thru FD scheme...did u get a chance to look at it..it seems that ppl are taking in negative side as stock started going down from 95 to 70 almost..
    m also long term investor but still want to be updated with teh happenings :)
    -mayur

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't see it as a big negative.. The only thing that goes against them, would be that they have to issue it at a higher interest than banks, otherwise they won't be able to attract investors..
      The schemes are more flexible when compared to banks in terms of both tenure and rates..

      I dont think we have a significant change in fundamentals which could have led to this downfall...

      Delete
    2. so you mean there is no harm as of now to hold the stock..no change in fundamentals right?
      Will keep on holding. Thanks bro for helping us.

      Delete
    3. No change in fundamentals is my view. To hold it or not is your decision.. :)

      Delete
  44. Kunal after holding a diversified portfolio for a long time I was happy to make around 25% cagr. But off late I felt like kind of switching to single stock investing I even read buffet book on this ( supporting single stock ) now I have identified a particular stock but still want opinion of qualified investors like on this regard can u throw ur views on single stock investing. Thanking you regards kumaresh.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It might be the strategy of the greats, but somewhere, I don't follow that...
      I believe in diversified portfolio, as my intention in stock markets is not just to earn money, but to invest in good companies from most sectors, even though returns might be less...
      Of course, there are sectors, which I avoid due to some reasons, but there are also instances where I have stated that this is a good company in poor sector. So, ideally, I try to cover various sectors, and try to find out good companies from that sector..

      You yourself has to decide, which way to follow... :)

      Regards

      Delete
  45. pls share your views on jp associates?

    ReplyDelete
  46. Hi kunal , pls share ur thoughts on

    Gujarat Automotive Gear Ltd
    Kesar terminals
    PTC india
    Intense technologies
    Ratnamani metals

    Regards,
    Janardhan

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Positive on Kesar Terminals and Ratnamani Metals..
      Not tracking others...

      Delete
  47. May I know your current view on Flex Food?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dont think there has been any change in company since its initial discussion which could change my views....

      Delete
    2. Thanks for your reply.
      Best Regards,
      Dhaval

      Delete
  48. Thank u for your reply Kunal is there any way we can calculate the operating cash flow of the company based on quarterly results Both BS and PL or can it be possible to arrive that operating cash can become positive based on half yearly result if so please give some inputs. Thanking you regards kumaresh

    ReplyDelete
  49. http://www.investopedia.com/exam-guide/cfa-level-1/financial-statements/cash-flow-indirect.asp

    This will help you...

    ReplyDelete
  50. Dear Kunal
    Could share your view on capri global result? Which one we need to consider--- standalone or consolidated? I feel the result is good but the stock is corrected a lot.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Consolidated numbers matter more, and they seem to be decent.
      Not much to comment on stock price movement, because if I remember correctly, the stock was up 6% or so, on next day of result. So it will vary depending on demand supply factor of investors...
      Overall I feel, if you observe the rally which is going on in large caps since last 8 days or so, small cap index has not moved much. It has almost been flat in this rally. May be once the broader market rally is over, the investors will shift their focus to small & mid caps...

      Delete
  51. sir, did you study about GKB and Dutron Poly

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both have shown decline in growth this year, which is not good at all...
      Please share if you have some positives about the company..

      Delete
  52. Kunal, whats your take on Granules results?
    To me, results are decent but did not like the news of Split and specifically ratio 10:1...
    -mayur

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Granules result was not up to the mark, but somewhere it was expected, as management had guided 15% growth for FY'15 earlier..
      This year, the numbers are likely to be flat, but we can expect a good FY'16 as per management interview, and also looking at the turnaround in their subsidiaries..

      FY'16 could lead to one more re-rating in the company as far as I feel..
      Stock split was still ok, but ratio could have been 2:1 or at max 5:1. As you 10:1 is too much, but lets see...

      Ajanta Pharma came out with yet another blockbuster result and split of shares from face value of 5 earlier, to face value of 2 ahead, which is also a good move..

      Delete
  53. Sir, I have bought Vinyl Chemicals at Rs. 90, but now the CMP is around Rs. 73 only. Can I average here or wait some time. Please suggest me.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The decline came post numbers where they showed a decline in profits, which is not a major concern in my opinion, as long as sales are rising...
      However, as I am not tracking this company since long time, it is advisable that we wait for some more time, before taking any further action...
      The stock has re-rated significantly this year, so some correction, was in any case, due for the stock..

      Delete
  54. Dear Kunal,

    Kindly update on PNB Guilt latest quarterly result.
    Also request to toatlview to help in this.
    Regards

    Jitendra

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lets wait for totalview to comment on this...

      Delete
    2. Results are very good and as expected. I expect an EPS of around 5.50 for the full year. At the CMP of 32-33 downside is limited. However, it cannot qualify for a multibagger status. But in view of falling interest regime PNB Gilts should churn out relative good results as compared to yester-years. Any extra move in the shape of strategic-sale, divestment or merger with PNB will be positive. Otherwise, one can expect steady dividends and safe-investment.

      totalview

      Delete
  55. Dear Kunal
    Are you upbeat on Munjal Auto at this price? Because the major business profit comes out of second half of the year--becuase of its seasonality. Just want to your valuable opinion before entering.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, I am still positive on it..
      Valuation wise also, I feel it has lot of potential to move ahead if one is ready to wait for long term...

      Delete
    2. Thanks Kunal. You comment gives more comfort.

      Delete
  56. hello and very very good evening sir, Sir is it right time to take a call on sugar stock? if yes what are the thing are going to effect this? if no then when is the reght time to take a call? second which are the sector going to be hero of 2015? or as per you which sector look attractive or value for money? kindly advise. thanks a lot

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Firstly, I don't have time concerns with sugar stocks i.e. I am not looking for a good time to get into such stocks. My hesitance is to enter stocks that are highly policy driven, or dependent entirely on single commodity..
      Such stocks tend to perform based on policy/commodity price, rather than fundamentals or performance of the company. Hence I avoid such stocks..

      Secondly, among the sectors, I feel, most of them are evenly placed now. All the undervaluation that was existing in some important sectors, has also been filled now, in this rally...
      When the entire rally started last year, I mentioned Auto as the most favored sector above all, because somewhere, I feel if the country is going on path of recovery, Auto would be the first sector to be benefited out of it..
      It came true to an extent, as most of strong Auto & Auto Ancillary stocks have been rewarded by the investors. It is hard to believe, but even a large cap name like Maruti Suzuki has given more than 100% appreciation this year and still going strong..

      If you ask me now, it would be tough to answer, which sector will benefit the most, but I continue to remain positive on small & mid-sized pharma companies (even after such valuations), home decor oriented companies like paints, sanitaryware etc, auto-ancillary and some good specialty chemical companies...

      Thats completely my opinion based on current market scenario.. :)

      Delete
  57. Dear sir ,Dynemic Products seems to be consolidating around 60 . Do you expect any further correction .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No idea about technical details related to stock price, hence can't guide you much..
      But overall, I am still positive about company's future growth...

      Delete
  58. Guruji waiting for ur next idea.pls suggest some websites to research on stocks.stock market knowledge :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please don't use such words like Guruji and all...

      Read articles on Investopedia to get more insight on stock markets...
      In my opinion, best way to learn is to track the stock markets by yourself as passion and observe the behavior, which will help you learn many practical things..

      Delete
  59. Sir Shall i hold Shreyas shipping or exit. I am holding since Rs.300

    ReplyDelete