Monday, February 17, 2014

Camlin Fine Sciences - Hidden Player In Food Industry

Much like the surge in demand led to growth in the steel industry in the 19th century, the growing demand for
processed food is creating larger opportunities in food protection business. At the heart of food protection business, is food preservation and shelf life extension. Food protection is a complex business encompassing elements of basic chemistry, food chemistry, bio-chemistry and bio-technology.

Camlin, the corporate group was established in 1931 and is a pioneer in art & stationery material in India. Camlin diversified into Pharmaceuticals and Fine Chemicals two decades ago.
Camlin Fine Sciences Ltd. is focused on a vision to be the largest food antioxidant and ingredient manufacturer worldwide. They will achieve the mission by placing the needs of their customers first, creating quality products, innovating technology, and fostering continuous improvements in employees, products, and processes.

The company primarily operates in Food division, but it also has a good presence in Industrial Products and Agri Products division. The food division of CFS has taken a leadership position globally in the synthetic food antioxidant segment, mainly because of its 2 anti-oxidants, TERT-BUTYL HYDROQUINONE (TBHQ) and BUTYLATED HYDROXYANISOLE (BHA).
To achieve stability, in availability of raw materials and supply of products to customers, on 8th March 2011, company acquired Borregaard, Italy S.p.A, now called CFS Europe. After that, the company has become the world's largest integrated manufacturer of TBHQ and BHA.

Salient features of TBHQ
- ANTOX (TBHQ) gives excellent antioxidant potency to edible oils and fats.
- Minimizes nutritional losses in edible oils.
- Maintains freshness and quality of crude oils during long distance transportation.
- Broadens the range of oils in food processing.
- Offers carry through protection to fried foods, thus enhancing their storage life and freshness.
- Facilitates use of saturated oils, thus preventing excess levels of cholesterol in oils and fats.

Salient Features of BHA
- The most effective antioxidant, imparting excellent stability for an array of food products, fats, shortenings, vitamins, pet foods, cosmetics pharmaceutical products and packaging materials
- ANTOX BHA, reduces the oxidative deterioration of edible oils and fats, loss of flavour, colour and nutritive value of foods
- ANTOX BHA, THE BETTER ANTIOXIDANT : BHA normally is a mixture of 2 isomers, 2 tert butyl and 3 tert butyl isomers 3 tert butyl isomer has better antioxidant property
- White free flowing crystalline Flakes
- Stable to heat and mildly alkaline conditions
- 20% colorless solution in propylene glycol remains colorless even when heated at 1940F for 1hr.
- ANTOX BHA SYNERGISTIC EFFECT : ANTOX BHA gives greater synergistic effect with TBHQ, BHT and propyl gallate than that which might be expected from contribution of each individual antioxidant

The applications of these 2 anti-oxidants are plenty and can be viewed in detail on company's website, in product details section. To add to that, in the Food business, Vanillin – the aroma compound manufactured by the Company, is also poised to take a larger share of the market.

Camlin Fine Sciences management is expected to increase its market share in high growth evolving markets like
China ,India, Latin America and Middle East , where the food processing industry has been growing at a higher rate when compared with the Global market. The company is continuously focusing on Research & Development and new product launches in food antioxidants sector.

On the products front, in the industrial Products business, the Company launched downstream products such as
TBC, Guaiacol and Veratrole. These value-added products have been developed with technical expertise of CFS
Europe, and hold a high growth potential. The agri-products division has started commercialisation of the products developed by CFS in India and has obtained success in high cash crops and fruits. The division has appointed dedicated technical sales teams who are assisting farmers and cooperatives to develop better farming practices and CFS products are helping in reducing damage to crops.

Talking about numbers now, the company has been growing at a very good pace over last 5 years, and this year seems no different.
In FY'13, the company achieved total sales of 316.4 Cr vs 255.62 Cr in FY'12, growth of 24%.
In FY'13, the net profit was at 14.76 Cr Vs 10.14 Cr in FY'12, growth of 46%.

For the nine months ended this year, the company has achieved
Total sales of 263.77 Cr vs 232.39 Cr last year, a growth of 14%.
Net profit of 15.57 Cr Vs 10.7 Cr last year, a growth of 46%.

I am expecting FY'14 to end with total sales of 365 Cr and net profit of 20.5 Cr approx, which will be a very good achievement. Recently, the company made an aggregate investment of 80.46 Lakhs by acquiring the share capital of SOLENTUS. Hence SOLENTUS has become the 100% subsidiary of the company.
Also, Camlin Fine Sciences plans to set up a wholly owned subsidiary in Canada for undertaking trading and distribution of antioxidants, food ingredients, blends and formulations in the US and Canadian markets.

My Views:
At a market cap of 115 Cr, the stock looks very attractive, with the kind of business expertise they have, and the scope available in the operating sector. I mentioned about the stock earlier also, in the comment section of earlier post, but was waiting for the company to declare its numbers before posting the details. The numbers came in line with the expectations, along with the news of setting up new subsidiary in Canada, which attracted me more towards the company for a good long term investment prospect. On 14th Feb, the managing director of the company, Mr. Ashish Dandekar, bought around 43,000 shares from the open market, which is also encouraging. The company has been a very good dividend payer also over the years. A range of 15-26 Rs in last 12 months suggests that the stock has been very steady, with very less volatility, but its about time, the stock comes into the eyes of big investors, with its continuous performance, which will take the stock to higher levels.
One can expect good returns over next few years in the stock. Not giving any specific target for now.

57 comments:

  1. Good volumes being traded today on Photoquip counter !!! It showing upper circuit @ 29.40 :)

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  2. Sir, aren't you worried on Camlin's debt part?

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  3. Yes, that was good... but don't want to see that same old story of proxies transferring to promoters, which is creating such volumes....

    Looking at the numbers of first nine months ended Dec'13, it seems they are all set to post record sales this year. With increase in CORVI products sales, in recent times, it looks like they will be able to achieve 90 Cr this year.
    Good point noted by you that CORVI has started becoming a profitable business for them. If this is the case, in the first year itself, one can expect a very good profit from this business going ahead...

    I will try to get more insight from the management on this and will post it here...

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  4. Mayur,

    Yes, it is on the higher side, but on the other hand, if you see, they have been involved in plenty of acquisitions where such debts are inevitable...
    It might create wrong impression initially in the mind of investors, but eventually, once the subsidiaries starts performing well, you will notice a big rise in sales and profit..

    If you see their results this year, in almost all the quarters, they have a shown a bigger jump in net profit than sales, because of the fact that their raw material cost has gone down significantly on account of Borregaard, Italy S.p.A, acquisition done in 2011...

    Hence such stocks are only advisable for long term investments.
    We have a similar story in Granules India also, where management have done aggressive acquisitions, and increased debt levels, which is why, investors are slightly concerned when buying at higher levels, but eventually, in the long run, you will see the company flying high because of such acquisitions, if everything goes well...

    And I absolutely don't deny the negatives with such acquisition, when it does not work out as expected by the management, hence its always one's own choice, on whether to enter such scripts or not...

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  5. Photoquip posting a topline of Rs.90 crores should not pose a problem at all !!! Optimistically speaking it should cross Rs.90 crores very well !!!! It's heartening to note that quarter after quarter Corvi is returning very decent numbers albeit on a very lower base. Proxies transferring the shares, we shall come to know within a week if there is any reporting to BSE under various regulations !!!!

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  6. Dynemic Products named earlier on this blog, came out with excellent result this quarter....
    Sales were up by 34% and net profit was up by a staggering 704% YoY...
    Also, company has been allotted a plot in Dahej - III Industrial Estate having plot area of 80000 sq.mt. Company is planning to start Unit III for manufacturing Dye Intermediates and other Allied chemicals.

    At market cap of 30 Cr, the stock looks extremely cheap...

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  7. KJMC CAPITAL MARKET SERVICES LIMITED came out with report on Dhanuka Agritech, revising their target price to 245 Rs per share...
    http://breport.myiris.com/KJMC/DHAPESTI_20140213.pdf

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  8. After declaration of third quarter results by Photoquip India there are buyers on the counter !!! It's again locked at Upper Circuit @ Rs.32.35 !!!!! Let us watch further developments and there are no declaration from the promoters for hiking their stake !!!

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  9. Atleast now there are some good volumes on the counter....
    In the meanwhile, I have got mail from their management.... will update that in the evening..

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  10. Words from Photoquip's management:

    "Yes, the progress of Corvi is satisfying; but we still have a long long way to go. We should end the year with a top line of Rs. 18 crores for sure; though Rs. 20 crore is within sight.
    Corvi has become a known name across retail counters.
    Demand for photographic products is stable. This year our focus is to penetrate into the Indian market and get back to our very high market share which we had in the past.
    Overall we should end the year with a top line close to Rs. 90 crores."

    More or less as expected..... Not much surprises...
    Seems on track....

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  11. A total of 16000 shares bought by 3 different Cera Sanitaryware promoters at an avg price of 760 Rs per share, including 8000 being bought by Vikram Somany himself...
    Do we really need to wait for dips to buy more???? :-)

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  12. A topline of Rs.100 crores in sight, a marquee brand "Elinchrom" and another "CORVI" in the making having positive margins in the very first year of commercial operations, Mumbai based 20-year old outfit having premium fixed assets, promoters continuously year-after-year raising their stake (But no dividend :) ), having an average EPS of Rs.8.11 for the last five years !!!!

    It's all available for a market capitalisation of just 15 cores !!! Is something wrong or a steal ?

    Yours detailed insight comments required !

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  13. And one more statistics - November and December 2013 - Total No. of shares delivered under PCA system - Around 3000 whereas in January 2014 and upto 19th February 2014 more than 27500 shares have been delivered and share price has fallen by an average 18% from 39-40 to 32 !!!! What does it indicate? And during the period no promoters' activity seem to have taken place !!!!

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  14. Agree that it is a steal right now, but also would like to point that, yes, plenty of things have gone wrong also, which is probably the reason for such cheap valuations...

    It might be repetitive for you, but these points are the only reasons I could figure out.

    1) Depression in sales of Photographic Products:
    The company in the past 20 years, was mainly involved in sales of Photographic products, which has seen a decline in past few years, especially after March '12. To trust a company, based on new venture, and that too in the first year itself is slightly difficult, for retail as well as institutional investors.
    When the sales were going good, enough appreciation was delivered. For eg., stock appreciated by more than 600%, in the period from Mar '09 to Apr '11, which was their golden period. in terms of growth.
    Sales declined from 81 Cr to 75 Cr, from FY12 to FY13, excluding 2.5 Cr earned from CORVI in FY13.
    Even this year, if we exclude CORVI sales of 12.21 Cr, the total sales of Photographic Products is 53 Cr for 9 months, and from the outlook, it doesn't look like they will be able to achieve 75 Cr also, which they did last year.
    This seems to be the primary reason for lack of volumes and movements on the counter.

    2) Unable to attract institutional Investors:
    The reason for this is quite evident. They haven't paid dividend so far. 90 out of 100 institutional buyers will reject the company, if dividend is not being paid every year, no matter what the fundamentals of the company are.
    Not sharing the profits with share holders, is considered to be one of the biggest negative, by the institutional investors.
    And of course, when you put such a huge chunk of money in certain company, you expect to get some decent returns every year, in form of interest, other than what the stock price appreciation gives you.

    3) PAT margins falling consistently for past 5 years:
    PAT margins, in past 5 years, have fallen consistently from 17% in 2009 to -0.36% in 2013. I understand that there are reasons for it with higher input cost, but then, you have to be bang on with your sales growth at least, to keep the investors interested in your company. This is where Photoquip has failed in past 2 years. Hence it is out of radar for most now.

    Looking at above scenarios, market cap of 15 Cr, is still not justifiable, as you said, but its neither too far from correct valuations also, for now....
    It should soon change with increase in sales, like we had from '09 to '12.

    The good thing is that, point 1 and 3 are looking solid this year, with successful introduction of CORVI products, and good tactics taking the company to profits in the first year of introduction itself. Point 2 is completely in the hands of management, and this is one fact, which I genuinely feel, can give good appreciation to stock price, even with current performance.

    Good to see that CORVI range is getting popular among retailers as well.

    Nothing more from my side right now. :-)

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  15. Hi Kunal

    You can't be more apt !!!! ***** awarded to you for a candid analysis !!!

    All said and done, Photoquip is now on the cusp of a complete valuation change if the promoters and management (incidentally one and the same :) ) play the right cards and become pro-investors !!! I personally feel a small amount of advertising on building brand will go a long way for CORVI !!! I have taken a slightly bigger piece of cake !!! :-D

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  16. Cravatex counter has become active in the last couple of days :) Good number of upper circuits and decent volumes !!! At the time of writing there is upper circuit with buyers for 1100 shares !!!! What is the buzz?

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  17. Mere cheap valuations is the only factor, as far as I feel...
    Sales might not have grown as expected, but at least it has, to an extent....
    I dont remember a single instance even in such difficult times, that they shown a decline in sales, at least not on annual basis....
    This year they are looking good to show sales of 190-200 Cr.
    Just a dip in margin, is not so huge a factor to depriciate the share price from 800 to 200, I feel.
    A market cap of 50 Cr and sales of 200 Cr, in a sector which has plenty of scope is surely not justified.... Also, the profits are not hammered significantly. Annual EPS of 16, possible this year, is not that bad.
    Frankly speaking, not sold a single share that I bought around 400...
    My plan is not just to invest where money grows, but to invest in a company which is running a business that I understand, I trust and I forsee a bright future... :-)

    Keeping my views aside, the other good facts are, the book value of the company is strong at 145 Rs per share, and trading at a P/E, which close to one third of the overall industry P/E.

    Lets hope things get better going ahead!!!

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  18. All bad news is in the price !! And for the present it seems to have seen it's bottom !!! Next round of business cycle should take it to further respectable levels considering it's pedigree and the sector it belongs to !!! Market cap-wise quite attractive at CMP !!!!

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  19. Hi Kunal,

    Today is the 5th consecutive Upper Circuit @ Rs.35.60 on Photoquip India !!! Entire week it has closed on Upper Circuit and total shares delivered being more than 13500 !!! It seems it has bottomed out @ 28 and lower prices are attracting buyers who are seeing value in the scrip !!! :)

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  20. I genuinely feel that, as the Mar '14 is coming closer, the promoters proxies have woke up again, and I feel they are ones involved in buying this week...

    If you had observed carefully, when the stock price was coming down, the volumes on the counter were not more than 100-200. They themselves might have done that to bring the price down, and now they are the ones who are ready to buy at upper circuit...

    They know one thing that in current scenario, with current set of numbers and the kind of liquidity on the counter, they won't get much buyers at lower circuit, but they definitely will get good amount of sellers at upper circuit...
    Using this logic, they are accumulating, maximum shares from market...
    And if its not their proxies, then I feel, someone is very smart here to use such opportunities... :-)

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  21. I too was surprised whole day Photoquip was @ upper circuit and later on with very low volumes it came down to 32.75 or so and closed !!!! Someone tried to suppress the price and ensured that it closes lower else next range would have been higher upto Rs.37.35 !!!! But surprisingly this year promoters' activity has been very low as compared to yester-years !!!! Let us see still more than a month left :)

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  22. PS : My sixth sense is telling that some tired bull-unloading is also taking place :-D

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  23. Are you talking about you yourself??? :-D :-D :-D

    Lets see, I am ready to wait for next 5 years also, if the company is really doing something great!!!!!

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  24. Dhanuka Agritech participates in “Krishi Vasant”
    Link:
    http://www.nagpurtoday.in/dhanuka-agritech-participates-in-krishi-vasant/

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  25. Some news for Cera Sanitaryware

    India Sanitary Ware Market to Witness Robust Growth Due to Rising Sanitary Awareness, says Techsci Research
    Link:
    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/india-sanitary-ware-market-witness-113000036.html

    Angel Broking Raises Target Price to 846 Rs per share:
    Link:
    http://www.angelbroking.com/Research/5288/ResultUpdates/CeraSanitarywareLtd.aspx

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  26. Hi Kunal,

    Lambi Race ka ghoda hain :-D :-D :-D

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  27. Dear Kunal,

    Did u get a chance to research inyo Arrow Coated Products? Even Ashish Chugh of Hidden Gems has made a small mention of it on his twitter page

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  28. Arrow Coated definitely seems to be a great prospect....
    Long term investors can definitely get into this, but off-late stock has seen plenty of violent movements...
    I have been tracking since the last time you suggested.
    It went upto 38 from 19, then came back to 24, and now again back to 40 odd levels...
    Traded in circuits most of the time...

    May be the stock needs some time to settle down in terms of price, else looks very good fundamentally...
    Will try to get in touch with management also, for some more details related to future...

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  29. Gulshan Polyols' promoters are active in the market. They have increased their holding to 72.24% as on date. Rice based MDP and DMH plant is likely to go on stream in first quarter of 2014-15. Besides, they have carried out expansion of sorbitol plant at Bharuch, Gujarat, both entailing a capital cost of around Rs.40 crores !!! Moreover, Chhindwara Plant's bottling operations should start shortly as they are just waiting for Excise Department's approval(which should not take long). All these activities should results into a topline of Rs.400 crores in FY2014-15 easily !!!

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  30. Yes they will.... but if things go well, I feel they can do much more than that...
    This year, they are likely to finish with revenues slightly above 350 Cr, considering that Mar qtr have been relatively better for them historically....

    If we go by what management says, that they will grow by 15% in FY15, then they should post sales close to 405 Cr. But generally, I feel that management are slightly defensive in giving projection for the coming year.

    I feel with expansion process, they should grow by 20-25% in sales next year, which will take them to 425-450 Cr....

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  31. Cravatex counter is buzzing !!! Huge outstanding buyers for 12245 shares and it's locked at the upper circuit @ 253.10 !!!! Hardly 1000 shares could be traded !!!! It seems some behind the scene activity is going on !!!! Please try to find out !!!! Have reasonable holding :)

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  32. I think today's rise may be because of some new entrants in the counter, as the stock was suggested by ValuePick on this Fri or Sat..
    May be that has brought in few more buyers....

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  33. Hi Kunal and others,
    Can you pls suggest what should be the best price band to enter into Dhanuka Agritech and Can fin homes? I like both. Thanks again,.
    Mayur

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  34. Hi Mayur,

    Don't think Dhanuka is too expensive at the moment looking at the future prospect, but the nature of business suggests that it would come under limelight mostly during Sept Qtr.
    So, till we reach that period, we might get few dips in between. All those opportunities can be utilized to average out.
    Hence advising to buy in small quantities.
    The idea might give you less profit in case when the stock goes up continuously from here on, but its more about minimizing the risk.

    Can Fin Homes can be bought right now. Don't see major risks, unless we have some change in financial policies. But that itself is the biggest risk.
    Fundamentally, a very strong stock, but may face pressure in case some policy goes against HFCs. We are tracking the stock regularly, and will be posting updates if there is any. Till then, its a buy from my side.

    In case of Can Fin Homes, I feel that its a good investment, but difficult to see it as multibagger from these levels, because some where down the line, you expect certain policies to go against them. Hence take your decision accordingly.

    Thanks.

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  35. Thanks Kunal for those kind words.
    Agree in the case of HFCs that policies plays a vital role and I'm already holding DHFL from 170 levels. And I can skip can fin homes being in same business, if you recommend me any other stock from your kitty that may turn into multibagger provided its trading at attractive valuations. Because I personally feel that 'entry price' is one of the most imp factor in buying any stocks, as you know - 'buy right business at right time' can change the story.
    As far as Dhanuka is concerned, I'm waiting in a hope to catch it around 160 levels for last few weeks but unfortunately, its not even coming down below 180 levels. I think everyone is sitting tightly on this bet whoever invested.
    But as you said buying it in SIP mode will minimize the risk and if business is doing good there is no harm in buying at upper levels. right?

    So what stocks would you like me to take a look that trading at attractive valuations or have all the ingredients to turn into a multibagger going forward?

    Cheers!
    Mayur

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  36. Agree with all your concepts..
    Yes, I don't hesitate in buying stocks at higher levels, if they are in good business.... but as you said, I make sure that I buy in parts, even at cost of making lower profits... :-)

    Most of my research have been posted here...
    But yes, I am looking into plenty of stocks right now...
    I tend to study stocks a lot before posting, hence you might see lesser recommendations but its necessary to try not making many mistakes...
    Still, I will post some names that I am looking at..

    Please make sure that these stocks are not recommendations yet, its just something one can have a look at...

    1) Plastiblends Ind (Stable Growth, Good Business)
    2) JB Chemicals & Pharma (Good Comeback)
    3) VST Tillers & Tractors (Again, Good Comeback)
    4) Dynemic Products (Excellent)
    5) Astec Life Sciences (Good)
    6) LT Foods (Good)
    7) Shilpa Medicure (Already Appreciated, So Will Have To Think More)
    8) Symphony Ltd (Appreciated Already, But Plenty May Be Left)

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  37. R'than plant to be commissioned in Q4FY15: Dhanuka Agritech

    The company as of now is debt-free except working capital requirements funded by banks, said MK Dhanuka, MD of Dhanuka Agritech.

    Link: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/rthan-plant-to-be-commissionedq4fy15-dhanuka-agritech_1047988.html

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  38. Hi,
    This time granules promotors have not shown any interest in selling by International Fin Cor FDI !!
    Anyways,
    Current issues regarding trades between India and USA won't affect granules future as its in off patent drugs business. Correct me if I am wrong.
    Thanks for being there to guide us.

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  39. Hi Vivek,

    Selling by Intl Fin Corp hardly matters as they are not part of promoters group,
    but I didn't get what you meant when you say that promoters have not shown any interest in selling by Intl Fin Cor.....
    Anyways, they have been selling since 150 levels last year if I remember correctly, so don't think that would have any impact on stock price, as such...

    Yes, you are correct in saying that it won't affect Granules much.

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  40. Photoquip attracting continuous Upper Circuits !!! Today again locked at upper circuit @ 37.85 with volumes traded being 1765 !!!! Difficult to make out the trend on the counter !!! This time no official buying figures in the disclosures also :( Is someone trying to unload the scrip by jacking up the price?

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  41. The case seems similar to what happened last year, as far as I feel.

    Promoter proxies are active, and they will transfer all the shares to promoters account during the last fews day of this fiscal.

    Looking at volumes in past few days, now I feel, that they will be able to gallop 5% before 31st March.

    In the meanwhile volumes reached 2500... :-)

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  42. Your guess is as good as mine :-D

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  43. One stock that attracted me from your list is 'Dynemic Products' (didnt get chance to go through all). A mere 33 cr company with consistent dividend player with dividend yield of 4.50% -Amazing! The stock spiked up recently from Rs 20 to 30 within just 10 days...may be due to excellent results - more than 550% growth Q3 Y-O-Y. Other income has also increased.
    Recent news- Company has been allotted a plot in Dahej - III Industrial Estate having plot area of 80000 sq.mt. Company is planning to start Unit III for manufacturing Dye Intermediates and other Allied chemicals.

    How do you see it's performance in coming years?
    Any negative points you want to highlights here?
    Can it be bought at lower levels, i mean where do u rate this company in terms of valuations - any specific price in mind?

    -Mayur

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  44. Mayur,

    Apologies for delayed reply. It was a busy day today. :-)

    Yes, I too like the stock very much. It was already mentioned once in this blog, may be a month or so ago. But as I said previously, I need some time to study it deeply, even at cost of entering at higher levels.
    As far as I believe, if the stock is good at 30 levels, it will remain so at 40 levels also. Hence no hurry in taking the decision.

    If you see their results this time, many parameters seem to be encouraging. Sales have gone up not only through exports, but domestic sales has also taken a jump. Employee Benefit Expense also going up. Company has posted a 704% jump in net profit in Q3, inspite of heavy tax expense, which stood at 40% of total net profit, that was great to see.
    Company looks all set to post sales of 110-115 Cr for FY14, and a net profit of 11 Cr, which means a jump of 35% and 254% resp, looks commendable.

    With company planning to start new manufacturing unit as you said, things are looking even better for future. Debt also is not that high. Nothing seems negative to me so far.

    It definitely can be bought for longer term. Margins are all set to get doubled this year, which has given a good boost to the price raising the share price from 13 to 30 in past 6-7 months.
    Because of high volumes on the counter for last few days, we might see some movements here and there. But seems no threat in terms of returns in future at current market price.

    Considering EPS for the whole year at 9 Rs per share, at CMP of 28 Rs, it is trading at a P/E ratio of 3. To me, it will look cheap, even at a price of 45,
    But markets has its own way of valuating the companies. :-)
    Being a very small cap company, they will have to prove them worth with performance in every quarter, to come into the eyes of big investors, which will help in re-rating.
    All the best!!!

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  45. One more Upper Circuit on Photoquip counter with thin volumes of around 700 shares @ 38.50 !!!!!!! ?

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  46. Even good amount of volumes 14.5k traded in Dynemic as well and stock down by 0.70p...we may get chance to enter at lower levels..what you say around 22-25?

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  47. It was more because the stock has already appreciated by 50% after the Q3 results, hence some profit booking was anyways expected by some weekly or monthly traders.
    Not sure if we will see it back around 22-25 levels, but for now, don't see much risk in entering at these levels also.
    But finally, its ones own call.
    Anyways, if I don't see further risk in business here, I will put it in a separate post.

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  48. Hi Kunal,

    I am regular follower of your blog. I want your view on orchid pharmaceuticals. If they get CDR approval I think fortune of the company will change and will back to the previous glory once again. What you think??

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  49. Gulshan Polyols has seen brisk activity in the last two months !!!! January and February have seen delivery transactions being 90000 and 40000 respectively(approx) !!!! This augurs well for the scrip. However, during the same period promoters have purchased around 5400 shares in smaller transactions thus consolidating their holding to around 72.25% !!!!

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  50. Hi Kunal,

    Camlin Fine and Dynemic Products both are quoting around 28 levels ! Which one you will prefer and why? :-D

    ReplyDelete
  51. Hi Mayur,

    Not deeply tracking Orchid Chem & Pharma.

    But you said it correctly that approval of CDR may change fortune.
    The problem is that there is no fixed timelines for that, which is a major worry, as far as stock price is concerned.

    If holding, you can continue to wait for positive news flow. But if you are looking for new entry, I would rather suggest to avoid at this moment.
    Better make a late but safe entry.

    Regards.

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  52. Actually in their latest december quarter result, under notes section they mention that they may get their CDR approval before February so I thought to make fresh entry..

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  53. The best answer is that both are very good. I would prefer a 50:50 allocation on each. :-)

    But on a serious note, I feel, that in terms of valuations, Dynemic is a better bet, in a way that it seems more undervalued than Camlin.
    Off late, Dynemic has been able to deliver better topline and bottomline growth than Camlin. Margins are also higher than Camlin.
    Dividend yeild is also higher for Dynemic.

    The above points are not to take anything away from Camlin, but just a raw comparison.
    Camlin also has a very stable growth and a good business. Most of the positives have already been posted.

    Mostly, I will be coming out with a new post on Dynemic Products tomorrow.

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  54. Wait for the confirmation on that, then make an entry, would be my suggestion.

    The result had an auditor's report also in it and it stated:
    "The company has made advance payments to various drug suppliers to the tune of ?537.76 crore as of end of December 2013, but it has not received any supplies. They said there cannot be any opinion on the recoverability of this amount.
    Bexel Pharmaceuticals Inc, Orchid’s US-based subsidiary, has not been spending any money on research because there was no financial allocation from the parent company. Orchid has investments worth ?95 crore in the research arm."

    I am not sure if management did clarify on these things. But wait if they haven't.

    As I said, that I am not following the stock on daily basis, I might miss few updates.

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  55. You will be buying a lot more and you will not
    be able to just try one and change if that does not work.
    One of the biggest benefits associated with raspberry ketones
    is tthe fact they take very little time to take effect on the body.

    The HCG drops are an effective tool of weight reduction.

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  56. Dear Kunal excellent research data. Can you add the current market price and recommended price against each script .....it will show the progress. Important thing what's your long term call on pharma packaging leader Bilcare.

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  57. How does CAMLIN look from here on? went quick from 100-125 (in 2 days infact!) last week and now has consolidated quite a bit to 105 levels within a couple of days! Seems like somethings fishy...any clue?

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