Sunday, June 1, 2014

Q4 FY'14 Result Updates - Gulshan Polyols, Camlin, Dynemic, Photoquip And Cravatex

First of all, let me inform that, as mentioned earlier, I was studying some of the consumer stocks, but unfortunately, wasn't fully satisfied with my study and hence delaying the post related to new stock for now. Some of my study included Hawkins Cooker, about which I mentioned earlier also, when it was trading at 1950 Rs. With excellent Q4 numbers, the stock has appreciated 25%, which is good.
The other stocks in my study includes IFB Industries and Lloyd Elect & Engg.
I am yet to derive any conclusion, and hence avoiding the new post for now.

Coming back to Q4 numbers,

1) Gulshan Polyols:

Sales figure turned out to be below expectations, but again, apart from current undervaluation, results sheet had some positives. The best part was increase in fixed asset by almost 50%, which might help them grow better in future.
The result for the full year looked very decent, with sales growing at 15%, and net profit at 12%.
EPS for the full year stood at 31, which makes the P/E ratio, still look cheap around 4.
Dividend remains same as there was not much growth in profits, which is fine.
Revenue growth might continue to remain steady at 15%, but margins might improve if Rs appreciates further, as it will bring down the input cost, according to management.
Its a hold at CMP.

2) Camlin Fine Sciences:

Good numbers posted by the company with sales growing by 36% and net profit by almost 90%. The re-rating was always due, even before such result. Hopefully, it came only after we discovered the stock, and hence were positively rewarded.
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year. The growth of the company is also powered by new and value added products. The company has increased its market share by 3 new products from the diphenol down stream as per planned strategy.
The company as a part of its growth strategy has progressed towards expanding its product portfolio in shelf life extension and developed a range of ready to use antioxidant solutions to address the shelf life extension needs of processed food products, in segments like bakery, confectionery, fried snack foods, dairy.
As always, profit booking is not a bad idea, once your stock has appreciated almost 3 times in 3 months, but still recommending a hold on this counter, with atleast some quantity, for long term, as it is still trading at a P/E ratio of 10-11, with business having plenty of scope in future.

3) Dynemic Products:

It is very common behavior that when there is any announcement expected related to bonus/split of shares, then it is mostly driven on basis of that news, and not on the financial performance for short period. So, no surprises to see that stock hit lower circuit for 2 days, after the announcement of postponing the split of shares program. I wouldn't mind that much considering the fact that a) the rise in past few days, was also because of the split news, so the some decline after the cancellation was inevitable and b) I am a long term investor, so not much worried about short term movements.
Speaking of excellent numbers posted by the company, the sales for the full year rose by 37%, and net profit by 136%.
Recommending a strong buy/hold on the counter looking at business prospectus.
Original recommendation link: http://fundamentalstockideas.blogspot.in/2014/03/dynemic-products-name-behind-colors-of.html

4) Photoquip India:

Excellent results in terms of top line growth, which was slightly above expectations, mainly because there was good growth seen in sales of photographic products as well, along with almost quadruple growth in sales of CORVI products over last year.
The heavy loss encountered was on the account of improving CORVI business, where company has to face challenges with initial marketing expense. When the year FY'14 started, we, very positively assumed that if all things goes right, the CORVI sales should be somewhere around 20 Cr by year end, and we were not proved wrong, because of all the efforts put up by management to ensure the success of their new venture.
It is interesting to see, how quickly, the products gets penetrated into the common buying options available in the market. The way things have turned out so far, I don't think management will leave any stone unturned to make sure that the venture is a big success in future.
I have no doubts over the quality of their products, and it is quite evident looking at the fact that they have received so many innovations award.
I am yet to have a discussion with management. Once done, with post the details here.
Investors with lots of patience can hold/buy the stock.

5) Cravatex Ltd:

Improving, but best is yet so far. The good thing is that atleast they are able to show sales growth even in these difficult times. The profit should follow once Rs appreciates, to go below 50 Rs a dollar, which might be far, but there is a strong hope.
Considering the case, where NDA govt is able to deliver what is expected of them, then there will be 2 things which will help Cravatex grow better. One is the appreciation of Rs as discussed above, and second is improving life style of a common man in india, which will indirectly help the sales of products distributed by the company.
The positive that can be derived now that FY'14 is over, is the results in FY'15, will be compared with results of FY'14, where dollar was strongest against Rs, so far. Hence, at least this year, we might not see, declining growth in terms of net profit. :)
Those who have trust in the new govt and its positive implications, can continue to hold the stock for long term.

Holding all the stocks mentioned here, except a minor 25% profit booking in Camlin Fine Sciences.
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year.

Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results/camlin-fine-sciences-fy14-netat-rs-2871-cr_1095370.html?utm_source=ref_article
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year.

Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results/camlin-fine-sciences-fy14-netat-rs-2871-cr_1095370.html?utm_source=ref_article
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year. The growth of the company is also powered by new and value added products. The company has increased its market share by 3 new products from the diphenol down stream as per planned strategy, the release said. The company as a part of its growth strategy has progressed towards expanding its product portfolio in shelf life extension and developed a range of ready to use antioxidant solutions to address the shelf life extension needs of processed food products, in segments like bakery, confectionery, fried snack foods, dairy.

Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results/camlin-fine-sciences-fy14-netat-rs-2871-cr_1095370.html?utm_source=ref_article
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year. The growth of the company is also powered by new and value added products. The company has increased its market share by 3 new products from the diphenol down stream as per planned strategy, the release said. The company as a part of its growth strategy has progressed towards expanding its product portfolio in shelf life extension and developed a range of ready to use antioxidant solutions to address the shelf life extension needs of processed food products, in segments like bakery, confectionery, fried snack foods, dairy.

Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results/camlin-fine-sciences-fy14-netat-rs-2871-cr_1095370.html?utm_source=ref_article
The company said it was successful in holding on to the market share in major markets and also registered a growth in emerging markets like South America and Asia by extensive customer reach through its sales teams. This growth has been achieved in spite of recessionary pressures in the international market during the year. The growth of the company is also powered by new and value added products. The company has increased its market share by 3 new products from the diphenol down stream as per planned strategy, the release said. The company as a part of its growth strategy has progressed towards expanding its product portfolio in shelf life extension and developed a range of ready to use antioxidant solutions to address the shelf life extension needs of processed food products, in segments like bakery, confectionery, fried snack foods, dairy.

Read more at: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/results/camlin-fine-sciences-fy14-netat-rs-2871-cr_1095370.html?utm_source=ref_article

19 comments:

  1. Hi Kunal,

    After looking at the results, I believe it is an excellent opportunity for long term investors to enter dynemic products now.
    But will it effect the results if rupee appreciates?

    Thanks
    Anshul

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Agree with you that it is an excellent opportunity....
      I dont think Rs appreciation will affect the company.... the growth in sales, is not because of Rs depriciation, it is more because of their product acceptance around the world....

      Delete
  2. Hi kunal....i have been following your blog since a long time and have got excellent returns...god bless you....keep up the good work...
    please correct me if i am wrong.....manjushree technopack has hardly any competition.....and they have an excellent client list....they are also performing superbly and delivering constantly good results....dont you think it will be safe to enter at current level of 240 also...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you for your kind words, and I am very happy to see that you have got excellent returns..
      The sector is competitive, with many small and large players, but yes, they have a good name in the sector, and hence their classic client list..
      Infact if you see their capex, it has always been high, on account of improving the processes and system, so as to sustain in such competition.

      Regarding your query about entry, its tough to give the answer, when the stock has already appreciated 55% since its recommendation.
      At a P/E ratio of more than 20, there is no way it can be proved as undervalued now. But yes, there might be plenty in store for the future..

      If company is able to deliver good results, I think, stable returns can be expected even from these levels. If you have patience, you can buy by utilizing every dips on the counter.

      Regards.

      Delete
  3. Is Kanoria chemicals & lloyd electicals are still undervalued? or can enter after some correction?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are undervalued but there is a difference...
      Lloyd Elect & Engg and its group of companies, has always traded with low P/E. Don't know if that will change going ahead...
      The company is expert in manufacturing AC coils, which is why results are generally very good for Q4. Sept numbers might be little sub-dued when compared with Q4, on account of lower AC sales....

      Kanoria still deserves much more. If results continue impress, we might see much higher levels here...

      Delete
  4. Suven Life secures One (1) Product Patent in USA
    Link: http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/Suven_Life_Science_Ltd_040614.pdf

    ReplyDelete
  5. Lots of shares released from pledge by Granules promoters. The same has triggered the short term rally in the stock...
    Debt levels might come down, to an extent by year end...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Agreed, still holding it tightly on 250% profits with remaining quantities after booking 15% profit....lets hope for better days to come..
      -Mayur

      Delete
  6. Gulshan Polyols traded at a new high of 152.40 with robust volumes of 65K shares and 65% delivery !!!! It finally settled around 143.60 !!!! Post-result volumes and rise are important and it seems scrip is going into strong hands !!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Increase in fixed asset is the most juicy part in the script...

      With expected EPS around 37 for the next year, I won't be surprised to see the stock trading around 300 levels within 1-2 years time....

      Delete
    2. I agree with you !!! I was just checking the valuations vis-a-vis Commodity Chemicals' scrips and I found that valuations are still very cheap particularly if you analyse it's past track record on earnings. Clearly the best is yet to come. And extremely limited floated stock will keep on fueling the scrip as and when there is activity on the counter. Fresh entries have been taken and it's only a matter of time before action starts

      totalview

      Delete
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